Result
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
37.5% | Draw
32% | Independiente
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)The chances for Independiente have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Vélez Sársfield - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.5) |
2.88 ↓
(3) |
3.04 ↓
(3.1) |
8.1%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
- Vélez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Independiente's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Independiente has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Independiente?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Vélez Sársfield?
Independiente has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Independiente were as follows:
12.02.2025
Independiente
-
Vélez Sársfield
3:0
27.09.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Independiente
1:0
26.05.2024
Independiente
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
30.01.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Independiente
0:1
27.08.2023
Independiente
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:1
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Huracan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Ind. Rivadavia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Tigre | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Lanus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Velez Sarsfield | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Junin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | San Martin S.J | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Godoy Cruz | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Vélez Sársfield - Independiente?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
