Independiente vs San Martín de San Juan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente - San Martín de San Juan
Result
2:0
13/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)
Independiente - San Martín de San Juan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.39
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
82% (373/456)59% (122/207)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.02
Total shots
157
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
3010
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
198
Passes
82% (373/456)59% (122/207)
Long passes
68% (49/72)37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
63% (70/112)46% (27/59)
Crosses
20% (5/25)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.30
Fouls
819
Tackles
69% (9/13)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4839
Clearances Total
831
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.020.93
Goals prevented
0.02-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Portillo A. 🟨,
  • 34', Marcone I. 🟨,
  • 37', Toloza F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', Toloza F. , Anselmo F. ,
  • 60', Millan L. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 60', Tarzia D. , Montiel S. ,
  • 66', Gonzalez D. , Olguin G. ,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Avalos G. , Galdames P. (A),
  • 73', Cabral L. , Mancuello F. ,
  • 73', Marcone I. , Rodrigo Fernandez ,
  • 80', Watson N. , Tijanovich H. ,
  • 80', Portillo A. , Menendez J. ,
  • 80', Iacobellis M. , Pelaitay N. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Avalos G. , Galdames P. (A),
  • 87', Avalos G. , Gimenez M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
63.7%
Draw
24%
San Martín de San Juan
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 23.7% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66% 22.8% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for San Martín de San Juan aligns with the current prediction.
  • Independiente - San Martín de San Juan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.49)
    3.92
    (3.99)
    7.58
    (7.33)
    5.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Independiente - San Martín de San Juan?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 79.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Independiente (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente won 2.
    • Independiente is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • San Martín is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • San Martín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Independiente is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Freire N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Martín: Casa M. (Injury) Cavallaro J. (Injury) Fernandez T. (Injury) Recalde L. (Inactive) Watson N. (Inactive)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Independiente won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:3 (average 1.4:0.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).
    Latest results of Independiente
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Argentinos JrsInstituto3 : 1
    2San LorenzoTigre2 : 1
    3River PlateBarracas Central3 : 0
    4Racing ClubPlatense0 : 1
    5Boca JuniorsLanus1 : 0
    6IndependienteInd. Rivadavia1 : 0
    7Rosario CentralEstudiantes L.P.2 : 0
    8HuracanDep. Riestra3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Argentinos JrsSan Lorenzo1 : 2
    2River PlatePlatense1 : 2
    3Boca JuniorsIndependiente0 : 1
    4Rosario CentralHuracan0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1San LorenzoPlatense0 : 1
    2IndependienteHuracan0 : 1

    Final
    1PlatenseHuracan1 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente - San Martín de San Juan?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports
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    worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional
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