Independiente vs San Martín de San Juan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente - San Martín de San Juan
Result
2:0
13/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)
Independiente - San Martín de San Juan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.39
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
82% (373/456)59% (122/207)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.02
Total shots
157
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
3010
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
198
Passes
82% (373/456)59% (122/207)
Long passes
68% (49/72)37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
63% (70/112)46% (27/59)
Crosses
20% (5/25)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.30
Fouls
819
Tackles
69% (9/13)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4839
Clearances Total
831
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.020.93
Goals prevented
0.02-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Portillo A. 🟨,
  • 34', Marcone I. 🟨,
  • 37', Toloza F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', Toloza F. , Anselmo F. ,
  • 60', Millan L. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 60', Tarzia D. , Montiel S. ,
  • 66', Gonzalez D. , Olguin G. ,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Avalos G. , Galdames P. (A),
  • 73', Cabral L. , Mancuello F. ,
  • 73', Marcone I. , Rodrigo Fernandez ,
  • 80', Watson N. , Tijanovich H. ,
  • 80', Portillo A. , Menendez J. ,
  • 80', Iacobellis M. , Pelaitay N. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Avalos G. , Galdames P. (A),
  • 87', Avalos G. , Gimenez M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
63.7%
Draw
24%
San Martín de San Juan
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 23.7% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66% 22.8% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for San Martín de San Juan aligns with the current prediction.
  • Independiente - San Martín de San Juan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.49)
    3.92
    (3.99)
    7.58
    (7.33)
    5.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Independiente - San Martín de San Juan?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 79.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Independiente (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente won 2.
    • Independiente is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • San Martín is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • San Martín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Independiente is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Freire N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Martín: Casa M. (Injury) Cavallaro J. (Injury) Fernandez T. (Injury) Recalde L. (Inactive) Watson N. (Inactive)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Independiente won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:3 (average 1.4:0.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    2Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    3Barracas Central1145213:11217
    4Estudiantes L.P1152412:12017
    5Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    6Tigre1144310:8216
    7Huracan114436:8-216
    8Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    9Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    10Belgrano1135310:8214
    11Banfield114259:14-514
    12Racing Club1133510:12-212
    13Ind. Rivadavia1125410:12-211
    14Newells Old Boys112459:17-810
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1172216:8823
    2Velez Sarsfield1164116:7922
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1153318:11718
    5Rosario Central1046011:5618
    6San Lorenzo114439:8116
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba112545:9-411
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz111649:14-59
    15Independiente100646:10-46

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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