Independiente vs River Plate: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente - River Plate
Result
0:0
09/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
Independiente - River Plate - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.13
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
70% (233/331)73% (321/438)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.06
Total shots
55
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
23
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
125
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
70% (233/331)73% (321/438)
Long passes
27% (14/51)49% (38/77)
Passes in final third
57% (46/81)69% (64/93)
Crosses
17% (2/12)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.27
Throw-ins
3727
Fouls
1514
Tackles
90% (18/20)60% (18/30)
Duels won
5668
Clearances
1120
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.060.77
Goals prevented
0.06-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Galarza M. 🟨,
  • 23', Zabala F. 🟨,
  • 26', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
  • 43', Pezzella G. , Boselli S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Perez E. , Giuliano Galoppo ,
  • 46', Lencina S. , Quintero J. ,
  • 62', Loyola F. 🟨,
  • 66', Mazzantti W. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 75', Cabral L. , Galdames P. ,
  • 75', Abaldo M. , Pussetto I. ,
  • 77', Galarza M. , Meza J. ,
  • 78', Rivero L. 🟨,
  • 80', Vera F. , Godoy L. ,
  • 88', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 88', Colidio F. , Martinez P. ,
  • 90+9', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
31.4%
Draw
31.6%
River Plate
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 29.7% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Independiente - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.74)
    2.98
    (3.16)
    2.55
    (2.61)
    6%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: River Plate will win (62 of 76 users predict this - 81.58%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.86%90.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): River Plate will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0.
    • Independiente is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • River Plate is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Independiente has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Valdez S. (Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Meza M. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in River Plate: Salas M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - River Plate were as follows:
    08.02.2025 River Plate - Independiente 2:0
    01.09.2024 Independiente - River Plate 0:0
    09.03.2024 Independiente - River Plate 1:1
    25.10.2023 River Plate - Independiente 3:0
    23.04.2023 River Plate - Independiente 2:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of River Plate
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    3Estudiantes L.P1253413:13018
    4Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    5Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    6Barracas Central1145213:11217
    7Tigre1245311:9217
    8Huracan124446:10-416
    9Argentinos Jrs1243512:9315
    10Belgrano1236311:9215
    11Racing Club1243513:13015
    12Banfield1242610:17-714
    13Ind. Rivadavia1226410:12-212
    14Newells Old Boys1225510:18-811
    15Aldosivi122375:14-99


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    2Lanus1272313:9423
    3Velez Sarsfield1264217:9822
    4Rosario Central1156013:6721
    5River Plate1253418:12618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    8Sarmiento Junin114349:11-215
    9Instituto123637:11-415
    10San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    11Talleres Cordoba123547:10-314
    12Gimnasia L.P124178:14-613
    13Platense1125411:16-511
    14Godoy Cruz121749:14-510
    15Independiente110656:12-66

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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