Independiente vs River Plate: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente - River Plate
Result
0:0
09/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
Independiente - River Plate - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.13
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
70% (233/331)73% (321/438)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.06
Total shots
55
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
23
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
125
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
70% (233/331)73% (321/438)
Long passes
27% (14/51)49% (38/77)
Passes in final third
57% (46/81)69% (64/93)
Crosses
17% (2/12)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.27
Throw-ins
3727
Fouls
1514
Tackles
90% (18/20)60% (18/30)
Duels won
5668
Clearances
1120
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.060.77
Goals prevented
0.06-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Galarza M. 🟨,
  • 23', Zabala F. 🟨,
  • 26', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
  • 43', Pezzella G. , Boselli S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Perez E. , Giuliano Galoppo ,
  • 46', Lencina S. , Quintero J. ,
  • 62', Loyola F. 🟨,
  • 66', Mazzantti W. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 75', Cabral L. , Galdames P. ,
  • 75', Abaldo M. , Pussetto I. ,
  • 77', Galarza M. , Meza J. ,
  • 78', Rivero L. 🟨,
  • 80', Vera F. , Godoy L. ,
  • 88', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 88', Colidio F. , Martinez P. ,
  • 90+9', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
31.4%
Draw
31.6%
River Plate
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 29.7% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Independiente - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.74)
    2.98
    (3.16)
    2.55
    (2.61)
    6%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Independiente - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: River Plate will win (62 of 76 users predict this - 81.58%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.86%90.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): River Plate will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0.
    • Independiente is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • River Plate is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Independiente has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Valdez S. (Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Meza M. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in River Plate: Salas M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - River Plate were as follows:
    08.02.2025 River Plate - Independiente 2:0
    01.09.2024 Independiente - River Plate 0:0
    09.03.2024 Independiente - River Plate 1:1
    25.10.2023 River Plate - Independiente 3:0
    23.04.2023 River Plate - Independiente 2:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of River Plate
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central43017:529
    2Estudiantes L.P43015:329
    3Belgrano42115:237
    4Defensa y Justicia42114:227
    5Central Cordoba41304:316
    6Huracan42023:5-26
    7Newells Old Boys41214:405
    8Argentinos Jrs41212:205
    9Union de Santa Fe41212:205
    10Ind. Rivadavia41125:414
    11Tigre41123:4-14
    12Racing Club41122:3-14
    13Banfield41124:6-24
    14Boca Juniors40312:3-13
    15Aldosivi40221:5-42


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate42207:168
    2San Lorenzo42203:128
    3Gimnasia L.P42113:217
    4Lanus42023:216
    5Rosario Central41302:116
    6Dep. Riestra42024:406
    7Atl. Tucuman41213:305
    8Velez Sarsfield41212:205
    9Sarmiento Junin41213:4-15
    10Instituto41212:5-35
    11San Martin S.J41124:5-14
    12Talleres Cordoba41123:4-14
    13Godoy Cruz40312:3-13
    14Platense40312:4-23
    15Independiente40223:5-22

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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