Independiente vs Racing: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda).

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 10
Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	0.85
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Goal Attempts
20	11
Shots on Goal
4	5
Shots off Goal
11	4
Blocked Shots
5	2
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
7	4
Shots inside the Box
15	7
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
Free Kicks
18	2
Offsides
1	3
Fouls
2	18
Yellow Cards
5	6
Throw-ins
25	12
Touches in the Opposition Box
26	17
Passes
83% (354/426)	60% (133/223)
Passes in the final third
73% (95/130)	53% (43/81)
Crosses
20% (8/40)	44% (4/9)
Tackles
36% (5/14)	72% (13/18)
Clearances Total
19	43
Interceptions
11	14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Vera F. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Martirena Torres G. N. ⚽,
33', Sosa S. 🟨,
36', Tarzia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Millan L. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
46', Tarzia D. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
60', Vera F. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
65', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,
66', Montiel S. 🟨,
66', Nardoni J. 🟨,
68', Almendra A. E. ↓, Quiros S. ↑,
68', Solari S. 🟨,
68', Solari S. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
75', Salas M. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
77', Montiel S. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Angulo A. ⚽, Cabral L. (A),
87', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
87', Marcone I. 🟨,
88', Mancuello F. 🟨,
88', Cambeses F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Independiente
38.6%

Draw
32.2%

Racing
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

31.6%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

31.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Independiente - Racing Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.37)	2.95 ↓ (2.99)	3.3 ↓ (3.33)	5.3% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : TyC Sports

What is the prediction for Independiente - Racing?

Users Predictions: Independiente will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente won 1.
Independiente is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Racing is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Independiente will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Independiente: Montiel S. (Injury)
There will not play in Racing: Adrian Martinez (Inactive) Di Cesare M. (Inactive) Garcia A. (Muscle Injury) Rojas G. (Inactive) Vietto L. (Inactive) Zuculini B. (Inactive)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Independiente won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 15:23 (average 0.8:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.8:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Racing?

Independiente has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against Independiente?

Racing has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Racing were as follows:

25.08.2024 Racing - Independiente 0:0

24.02.2024 Independiente - Racing 0:1

30.09.2023 Racing - Independiente 0:2

16.04.2023 Independiente - Racing 1:1

Latest results of Independiente

08.03.2025 San Lorenzo - Independiente 1:2 ✺

04.03.2025 Banfield - Independiente 0:0 ✺

26.02.2025 Independiente - Sportivo Belgrano 2:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Independiente - Instituto Córdoba 2:0 ✺

17.02.2025 Platense - Independiente 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Racing

08.03.2025 Racing - Huracán Buenos Aires 0:1 ✺

03.03.2025 San Lorenzo - Racing 3:2 ✺

27.02.2025 Botafogo RJ - Racing 0:2 ✺

20.02.2025 Racing - Botafogo RJ 2:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Racing - Argentinos Juniors 2:3 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Clausura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P	6	4	0	2	8:6	2	12
2	Barracas Central	6	3	2	1	9:7	2	11
3	Central Cordoba	6	2	4	0	8:4	4	10
4	Huracan	6	3	1	2	5:6	-1	10
5	Boca Juniors	6	2	3	1	7:3	4	9
6	Union de Santa Fe	6	2	3	1	7:3	4	9
7	Defensa y Justicia	6	2	3	1	6:4	2	9
8	Argentinos Jrs	6	2	2	2	6:4	2	8
9	Tigre	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
10	Belgrano	6	2	2	2	5:5	0	8
11	Banfield	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7
12	Newells Old Boys	6	1	3	2	5:6	-1	6
13	Ind. Rivadavia	6	1	2	3	6:8	-2	5
14	Racing Club	6	1	1	4	4:9	-5	4
15	Aldosivi	6	0	3	3	1:6	-5	3

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	River Plate	5	3	2	0	11:3	8	11
2	Velez Sarsfield	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11
3	San Lorenzo	6	3	2	1	5:3	2	11
4	Dep. Riestra	6	3	1	2	8:5	3	10
5	Rosario Central	6	2	4	0	4:2	2	10
6	Atl. Tucuman	6	2	3	1	8:5	3	9
7	Lanus	5	3	0	2	5:3	2	9
8	San Martin S.J	6	2	2	2	5:5	0	8
9	Gimnasia L.P	6	2	1	3	4:5	-1	7
10	Platense	5	1	3	1	4:5	-1	6
11	Sarmiento Junin	6	1	3	2	5:9	-4	6
12	Talleres Cordoba	6	1	2	3	3:7	-4	5
13	Instituto	6	1	2	3	2:10	-8	5
14	Godoy Cruz	6	0	3	3	4:9	-5	3
15	Independiente	5	0	2	3	4:7	-3	2

Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente - Racing?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	ESPN Premium, TNT Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional