Independiente vs Huracán Buenos Aires: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires
Result
0:1 penalties
24/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.55
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
79
Passes
80% (289/362)66% (125/189)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.280.99
Total shots
99
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
79
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
80% (289/362)66% (125/189)
Long passes
45% (18/40)32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
72% (76/106)57% (43/75)
Crosses
14% (3/22)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.38
Throw-ins
2616
Fouls
2118
Tackles
82% (14/17)55% (12/22)
Duels won
5460
Clearances
2427
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.991.28
Goals prevented
0.991.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
  • 25', Tarzia D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Marcone I. 🟨,
  • 64', Tarzia D. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 64', Ramirez E. , Sequeira L. ,
  • 77', Urzi A. , Alanis G. ,
  • 81', Cabral L. , Millan L. ,
  • 81', Marcone I. , Rodrigo Fernandez ,
  • 87', Gimenez M. , Avalos G. ,
  • 87', Vera F. , Galdames P. ,
  • 89', Montiel S. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Sequeira L. (Pen),
  • 1, Avalos G. (Pen),
  • 2, Guidara T. (Pen),
  • 2, Montiel S. (Pen),
  • 3, Pellegrino M. (Pen),
  • 3, Galdames P. (Pen),
  • 4, Miljevic M. (Pen),
  • 4, Loyola F. (Pen),
  • 5, Gil L. (Pen),
  • 5, Lomonaco K. (Pen),
  • 6, Pereyra F. (Pen),
  • 6, Angulo A. (Pen),
  • 7, Mazzantti W. (Pen),
  • 7, Hidalgo S. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
43.1%
Draw
33.2%
Huracán Buenos Aires
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 31.2% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 29.7% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.04)
    2.85
    (3)
    4.01
    (4.1)
    5.6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Muscle Injury) Sporle A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Huracán: Carrizo L. (Knee Injury) Zabala D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.2:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente 1:0
    08.02.2024 Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente 0:0
    14.09.2023 Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:0
    02.07.2023 Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano11003:033
    2Newells Old Boys11002:113
    3Barracas Central11001:013
    4Argentinos Jrs10100:001
    5Boca Juniors10100:001
    6Aldosivi10100:001
    7Central Cordoba10100:001
    8Tigre00000:000
    9Banfield00000:000
    10Estudiantes L.P00000:000
    11Union de Santa Fe00000:000
    12Defensa y Justicia00000:000
    13Ind. Rivadavia10011:2-10
    14Racing Club10010:1-10
    15Huracan10010:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Lorenzo11002:113
    2Atl. Tucuman11002:113
    3Instituto11001:013
    4Independiente10102:201
    5Sarmiento Junin10102:201
    6Godoy Cruz10101:101
    7Rosario Central10101:101
    8Lanus00000:000
    9Velez Sarsfield00000:000
    10River Plate00000:000
    11Platense00000:000
    12Dep. Riestra00000:000
    13San Martin S.J10011:2-10
    14Talleres Cordoba10011:2-10
    15Gimnasia L.P10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium, Max, TNT Sports
    belarusBelarusOkko Sport
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    colombiaColombiaESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyComo TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional
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