Independiente vs Huracán Buenos Aires: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires
Result
0:1 penalties
24/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.55
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
79
Passes
80% (289/362)66% (125/189)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.280.99
Total shots
99
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
79
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
80% (289/362)66% (125/189)
Long passes
45% (18/40)32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
72% (76/106)57% (43/75)
Crosses
14% (3/22)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.38
Throw-ins
2616
Fouls
2118
Tackles
82% (14/17)55% (12/22)
Duels won
5460
Clearances
2427
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.991.28
Goals prevented
0.991.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
  • 25', Tarzia D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Marcone I. 🟨,
  • 64', Tarzia D. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
  • 64', Ramirez E. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
  • 77', Urzi A. ↓, Alanis G. ↑,
  • 81', Cabral L. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
  • 81', Marcone I. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
  • 87', Gimenez M. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
  • 87', Vera F. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
  • 89', Montiel S. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Sequeira L. (Pen),
  • 1, Avalos G. (Pen),
  • 2, Guidara T. (Pen),
  • 2, Montiel S. (Pen),
  • 3, Pellegrino M. (Pen),
  • 3, Galdames P. (Pen),
  • 4, Miljevic M. (Pen),
  • 4, Loyola F. (Pen),
  • 5, Gil L. (Pen),
  • 5, Lomonaco K. (Pen),
  • 6, Pereyra F. (Pen),
  • 6, Angulo A. (Pen),
  • 7, Mazzantti W. (Pen),
  • 7, Hidalgo S. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
43.1%		Draw
33.2%		Huracán Buenos Aires
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 31.2% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 29.7% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.18 ↑
    (2.04)    		 2.86 ↓
    (3)    		 4.06 ↓
    (4.1)    		 5.4%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 35.2% – 92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Muscle Injury) Sporle A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Huracán: Carrizo L. (Knee Injury) Zabala D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.2:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente 1:0
    08.02.2024 Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente 0:0
    14.09.2023 Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:0
    02.07.2023 Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    19.05.2025 Boca Juniors - Independiente 0:1 ✺
    15.05.2025 Independiente - Guaraní Asuncion 1:0 ✺
    11.05.2025 Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia 1:0 ✺
    06.05.2025 Boston River - Independiente 1:5 ✺
    03.05.2025 Rosario Central - Independiente 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Huracán Buenos Aires
    18.05.2025 Rosario Central - Huracán Buenos Aires 0:1 ✺
    14.05.2025 América de Cali - Huracán Buenos Aires 0:0 ✺
    11.05.2025 Huracán Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra 3:2 ✺
    08.05.2025 Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:3 ✺
    03.05.2025 Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central 0:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    3Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    4Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    5Barracas Central1145213:11217
    6Tigre1245311:9217
    7Estudiantes L.P1152412:12017
    8Huracan114436:8-216
    9Argentinos Jrs1243512:9315
    10Belgrano1135310:8214
    11Banfield114259:14-514
    12Racing Club1133510:12-212
    13Ind. Rivadavia1125410:12-211
    14Newells Old Boys1225510:18-811
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1172216:8823
    2Velez Sarsfield1164116:7922
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1153318:11718
    5Rosario Central1046011:5618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    9Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    10Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    11Instituto112635:11-612
    12Talleres Cordoba112545:9-411
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz111649:14-59
    15Independiente100646:10-46

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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