Boston River vs Independiente: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Boston River - Independiente
Result
1:5
06/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
Boston River - Independiente - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.552.69
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
519
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
72% (194/270)84% (413/494)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.552.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.543.93
Total shots
519
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
314
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1534
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
72% (194/270)84% (413/494)
Long passes
43% (19/44)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
62% (53/86)65% (72/110)
Crosses
7% (1/14)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.46
Throw-ins
2027
Fouls
1411
Tackles
62% (16/26)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5553
Clearances
3313
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
3.930.54
Goals prevented
-1.07-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Anello A. , Martinez F. (A),
  • 14', 1 - 1, Gimenez M. , Cabral L. (A),
  • 21', 1 - 2, Millan L. , Tarzia D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Barcia B. , Viera G. ,
  • 46', 1 - 3, Tarzia D. , Gimenez M. (A),
  • 61', Acosta J. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 4, Gimenez M. (Pen),
  • 67', Albarracin A. , Gutierrez J. ,
  • 67', Noguera F. , Rodriguez F. ,
  • 67', Anello A. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 71', Gimenez M. 🟨,
  • 73', Cabral L. , Montiel S. ,
  • 74', Gimenez M. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 82', Millan L. , Mancuello F. ,
  • 82', Lomonaco K. , Freire N. ,
  • 84', Amado A. 🟨,
  • 85', Amado A. , Munoa F. ,
  • 89', Rodrigo Fernandez , Medina J. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 5, Hidalgo S. , Tarzia D. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boston River
19.1%
Draw
26.5%
Independiente
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.9% 25.1% 54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8% 26.5% 57%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Boston River - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.89
    (4.5)
    3.55
    (3.73)
    1.73
    (1.74)
    6.3%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Boston River - Independiente?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Boston River is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Independiente is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Boston River has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Independiente is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boston River won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boston River - Independiente were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Independiente - Boston River 2:1
    Latest results of Boston River
    Latest results of Independiente
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Boston River - Independiente?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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