Result
1:5
06/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 2.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (194/270) | 84% (413/494) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 2.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 3.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (194/270) | 84% (413/494) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (19/44) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (53/86) | 65% (72/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.93 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.07 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, Anello A. ⚽, Martinez F. (A),
- 14', 1 - 1, Gimenez M. ⚽, Cabral L. (A),
- 21', 1 - 2, Millan L. ⚽, Tarzia D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Barcia B. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 3, Tarzia D. ⚽, Gimenez M. (A),
- 61', Acosta J. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 4, Gimenez M. (Pen),
- 67', Albarracin A. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,
- 67', Noguera F. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
- 67', Anello A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 71', Gimenez M. 🟨,
- 73', Cabral L. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
- 74', Gimenez M. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
- 82', Millan L. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
- 82', Lomonaco K. ↓, Freire N. ↑,
- 84', Amado A. 🟨,
- 85', Amado A. ↓, Munoa F. ↑,
- 89', Rodrigo Fernandez ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 5, Hidalgo S. ⚽, Tarzia D. (A),
Chances of winning
Boston River
19.1% | Draw
26.5% | Independiente
54.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Boston River - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.89 ↑
(4.5) |
3.55 ↓
(3.73) |
1.73 ↓
(1.74) |
6.3%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boston River - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Independiente will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Boston River (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Independiente (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Boston River is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Independiente is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Boston River has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Independiente is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boston River won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Boston River won against Independiente?
Boston River has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Boston River?
Independiente has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boston River - Independiente were as follows:
08.04.2025
Independiente
-
Boston River
2:1
Latest results of Boston River
Latest results of Independiente
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Independiente | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Guarani | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 3 | Boston River | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional Potosi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. Catolica | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 3 | Vitoria | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Huracan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | -11 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Godoy Cruz | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Gremio | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Grau | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Sp. Luqueno | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mushuc Runa | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Palestino | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fluminense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Once Caldas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | U. Espanola | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 4 | GV San Jose | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lanus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Vasco | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 4 | Puerto Cabello | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Caracas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 4 | Deportes Iquique | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Boston River - Independiente?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3 |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
