Independiente vs Independiente Rivadavia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia
Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.73
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
79% (263/335)76% (193/253)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.630.13
Total shots
168
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
257
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1911
Passes
79% (263/335)76% (193/253)
Long passes
39% (16/41)63% (32/51)
Passes in final third
72% (76/105)64% (48/75)
Crosses
20% (4/20)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.26
Throw-ins
2016
Fouls
1119
Tackles
88% (7/8)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4651
Clearances
1223
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.130.63
Goals prevented
0.13-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Bottari T. 🟨,
  • 29', Villa S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Sartori F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Millan L. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 51', Vera F. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Montiel S. ,
  • 59', Fernandez M. , Sequeira L. ,
  • 59', Bottari T. , Retamar K. ,
  • 61', Villalba I. 🟨,
  • 69', Cardillo M. , Barbieri J. ,
  • 75', Valenti M. , Souto P. ,
  • 82', Vera F. , Rodrigo Fernandez ,
  • 88', Gimenez M. , Maestro I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
55.5%
Draw
27.3%
Independiente Rivadavia
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 26.8% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 24.5% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.67)
    3.47
    (3.5)
    5.51
    (5.5)
    5.4%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Independiente is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Independiente R is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Independiente R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Independiente has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Independiente is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Avalos G. (Inactive) Galdames P. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Ramis V. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente 1:0
    26.01.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente 0:1
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Banfield21102:114
    2Union de Santa Fe21102:114
    3Belgrano11003:033
    4Ind. Rivadavia21014:223
    5Newells Old Boys21013:303
    6Tigre21013:303
    7Barracas Central21011:3-23
    8Boca Juniors20201:102
    9Central Cordoba20201:102
    10Aldosivi10100:001
    11Defensa y Justicia10100:001
    12Argentinos Jrs20111:2-11
    13Racing Club10010:1-10
    14Estudiantes L.P10010:1-10
    15Huracan10010:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate22007:166
    2Atl. Tucuman21103:214
    3Rosario Central21102:114
    4Velez Sarsfield21102:114
    5San Lorenzo21102:114
    6Dep. Riestra11001:013
    7Instituto21011:4-33
    8Sarmiento Junin20202:202
    9Godoy Cruz20201:102
    10Independiente10102:201
    11Gimnasia L.P20110:1-11
    12Platense20111:3-21
    13San Martin S.J10011:2-10
    14Talleres Cordoba10011:2-10
    15Lanus20020:2-20

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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