Independiente Rivadavia vs Boca Juniors: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors
Result
0:3
17/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.53
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
76% (318/416)83% (313/375)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.36
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1919
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
76% (318/416)83% (313/375)
Long passes
44% (24/54)40% (20/50)
Passes in final third
61% (94/153)82% (71/87)
Crosses
22% (5/23)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.351.44
Throw-ins
3021
Fouls
1112
Tackles
75% (12/16)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4952
Clearances
1634
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.360.00
Goals prevented
-1.640.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Carlos Palacios 🟨,
  • 22', Souto P. 🟨,
  • 26', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Centurion E. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 63', Amarfil M. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 63', Souto P. , Retamar K. ,
  • 64', Aguirre B. , Zeballos E. ,
  • 64', Cavani E. , Gimenez M. ,
  • 70', Carlos Palacios , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ,
  • 73', Miguel Merentiel , Velasco A. ,
  • 76', Ortega T. , Barbieri J. ,
  • 83', Velasco A. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 2, Zeballos E. , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (A),
  • 90', 0 - 3, Velasco A. , Gimenez M. (A),
  • 90+1', Bottari T. , Osella A. ,
  • 90+1', Gomez L. , Munoz S. ,
  • 90+3', Studer S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Rivadavia
32.7%
Draw
32.4%
Boca Juniors
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 29.5% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 29.2% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.74)
    2.9
    (3.2)
    2.72
    (2.63)
    6.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 52.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31%73.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).
    • Independiente R has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Boca Juniors has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Peinipil M. (Injury) Ramis V. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Belmonte T. (Muscle Injury) Figal J. (Calf Injury) Herrera A. (Muscle Injury) Lema C. (Inactive) Romero S. (Knee Injury) Saracchi M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Boca Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia 2:0
    10.08.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors 1:1
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    3Estudiantes L.P1253413:13018
    4Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    5Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    6Barracas Central1145213:11217
    7Tigre1245311:9217
    8Huracan124446:10-416
    9Argentinos Jrs1243512:9315
    10Belgrano1236311:9215
    11Racing Club1243513:13015
    12Banfield1242610:17-714
    13Ind. Rivadavia1226410:12-212
    14Newells Old Boys1225510:18-811
    15Aldosivi122375:14-99


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    2Lanus1272313:9423
    3Velez Sarsfield1264217:9822
    4Rosario Central1156013:6721
    5River Plate1253418:12618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    8Sarmiento Junin114349:11-215
    9Instituto123637:11-415
    10San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    11Talleres Cordoba123547:10-314
    12Gimnasia L.P124178:14-613
    13Platense1125411:16-511
    14Godoy Cruz121749:14-510
    15Independiente110656:12-66

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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