Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente Medellín: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Medellín
Result
1:1
14/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Medellín - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.42
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
176
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
114
Free Kicks
1018
Corner Kicks
100
Offsides
10
Throw-ins
2117
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
1710
Yellow Cards
45
Attacks
12990
Dangerous Attacks
5723

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Leon Muniz B. 🟨,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Leon Muniz B. , Alvarado J. (A),
  • 33', Fiermarin C. 🟨,
  • 41', Palavecino N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Leon Muniz B. , Garcia M. ,
  • 46', Palavecino N. , Echevarria F. ,
  • 52', Soto A. 🟨,
  • 52', Luis Orejuela 🟨,
  • 61', Monsalve M. , Moreno Y. ,
  • 61', Jhon Vasquez , Perlaza B. ,
  • 61', Gutierrez K. , Lopez K. ,
  • 61', Molinas A. , Zapata Y. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Ortiz J. (Own goal),
  • 69', Ortiz J. 🟨,
  • 71', Marco F. , Calderon E. ,
  • 73', Lima P. 🟨,
  • 77', Moreno D. , Chaverra L. ,
  • 79', Fory J. 🟨,
  • 87', Alanis G. , Blandi N. ,
  • 87', Luis Orejuela , Graciano C. ,
  • 89', Echevarria F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
49.2%
Draw
27.5%
Independiente Medellín
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 27.4% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 26.5% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Medellín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.8)
    3.41
    (3.37)
    4.01
    (4.31)
    6.7%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Medellín?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 9.6%70.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Defensa y Justicia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Independiente Medellín is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Independiente Medellín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Defensa y Justicia have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Defensa y Justicia is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
    25.04.2024 Independiente Medellín - Defensa y Justicia 2:1
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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