El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro El Nacional - Independiente del Valle
Result
1:3
14/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 8
  • Referee: Congo F. (Ecu)
El Nacional - Independiente del Valle - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.16
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
84% (346/412)83% (293/355)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.591.98
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1617
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
84% (346/412)83% (293/355)
Long passes
38% (23/61)58% (39/67)
Passes in final third
61% (63/103)65% (59/91)
Crosses
18% (4/22)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.68
Fouls
1015
Tackles
82% (9/11)78% (14/18)
Duels won
3646
Clearances Total
827
Interceptions
51
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.980.59
Goals prevented
-1.02-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Hoyos M. , Arroyo J. P. (A),
  • 23', 0 - 2, Rodriguez A. , Mercado P. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 2, Cela A. , Cevallos J. (A),
  • 28', Cortez G. 🟨,
  • 32', Ledesma A. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 3, Arroyo J. P. , Zarate L. (A),
  • 44', Carabali F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Montano M. , Hernandez B. ,
  • 46', Olmedo M. , Pazmino D. ,
  • 62', Hoyos M. , Spinelli C. ,
  • 63', Arroyo J. P. , Ibarra R. ,
  • 63', Cela A. , Guisamano J. ,
  • 63', Rivera B. , Cifuentes J. ,
  • 73', Mercado P. , Sornoza J. ,
  • 73', Cazares , Zabala C. ,
  • 73', Cortez G. , Loor L. ,
  • 73', Carabali F. , Flor F. ,

Chances of winning


El Nacional 24.3%Draw 28%Independiente del Valle 47.7%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
El Nacional 27.6%Draw 28%Independiente del Valle 44.4%

Our Initially ML Estimation

El Nacional 27.2%Draw 27.6%Independiente del Valle 45%

El Nacional - Independiente del Valle Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.79
(3.36)
3.28
(3.31)
1.94
(2.09)
8.4%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for El Nacional - Independiente del Valle?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is Independiente del Valle will win! (10 of 11 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 3.
    • El Nacional is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ind del Valle is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • El Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Ind del Valle is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 27:35 (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams El Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.4:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
    27.11.2024 Independiente del Valle - El Nacional 0:1
    03.11.2024 Independiente del Valle - El Nacional 2:0
    12.05.2024 El Nacional - Independiente del Valle 1:2
    02.12.2023 El Nacional - Independiente del Valle 2:1
    16.06.2023 Independiente del Valle - El Nacional 3:4
    Latest results of El Nacional
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona SC970214:10421
    2Ind. del Valle953118:71118
    3Vinotinto1053218:10818
    4U. Catolica943216:8815
    5LDU Quito943214:6815
    6Libertad943215:13215
    7Dep. Cuenca104157:11-413
    8Orense94149:14-513
    9Mushuc Runa933311:9212
    10Aucas933313:13012
    11Macara102445:7-210
    12Manta1024414:19-510
    13Emelec92436:11-510
    14EL Nacional1022611:15-48
    15Delfin101457:18-117
    16Tecnico U91358:15-76

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of El Nacional - Independiente del Valle?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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