Deportivo Macará vs Independiente del Valle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle
Result
1:2
11/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 20
Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.34
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
65% (131/201)84% (362/429)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.971.36
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1321
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
920
Passes
65% (131/201)84% (362/429)
Long passes
35% (17/49)52% (30/58)
Passes in final third
52% (43/82)66% (69/104)
Crosses
36% (4/11)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.71
Throw-ins
2416
Fouls
209
Tackles
67% (6/9)87% (13/15)
Duels won
2958
Clearances
1619
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.360.97
Goals prevented
-0.64-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Paz F. , Viera M. (A),
  • 19', 1 - 1, Alcivar J. , Pata E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Alvarez L. 🟨,
  • 63', Alcivar J. , Mendez J. ,
  • 63', Ibarra R. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 63', Pata E. , Briones R. ,
  • 67', Correa C. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Hoyos M. (Pen),
  • 71', Viera M. , Ledesma A. ,
  • 72', Morales J. 🟨,
  • 77', Alvarez L. , Blanc G. ,
  • 79', Mercado P. , Sornoza J. ,
  • 81', Mesa Mercado E. E. 🟨,
  • 86', Guagua D. 🟨,
  • 86', Hoyos M. , Vasquez Y. ,
  • 90+2', Jimenez J. , Arena N. ,
  • 90+2', Mesa Mercado E. E. , Espinoza T. ,
  • 90+2', Caicedo B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Macará
22.1%
Draw
27%
Independiente del Valle
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.2% 27% 51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 26.6% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.2
    (4.34)
    3.42
    (3.42)
    1.81
    (1.78)
    8.4%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Ind del Valle is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Macará 7:0
    25.05.2024 Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle 0:1
    24.09.2022 Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Macará 1:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Macará
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle20117237:181940
    2LDU Quito20106435:191636
    3Barcelona SC20105532:25735
    4Dep. Cuenca20103724:18633
    5Orense20103723:23033
    6Aucas2095627:24332
    7Libertad2086630:26430
    8Delfin2068620:28-826
    9U. Catolica2067731:28325
    10Vinotinto2065926:26023
    11Manta2058727:33-623
    12EL Nacional2065923:29-623
    13Macara2057819:20-122
    14Emelec2057815:24-922
    15Mushuc Runa20451124:37-1317
    16Tecnico U20271118:33-1513

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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