Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo
Result
1:1
12/04/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)
Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.32
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
513
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
85% (350/411)90% (496/552)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.680.85
Total shots
513
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
19
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1025
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
219
Passes
85% (350/411)90% (496/552)
Long passes
55% (33/60)48% (12/25)
Passes in final third
70% (81/116)82% (114/139)
Crosses
0% (0/11)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.481.20
Fouls
921
Tackles
57% (8/14)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4427
Clearances Total
2122
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.850.68
Goals prevented
-0.05-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Ponce E. , Bassi A. (A), Kowalczyk S. (A2)
  • 20', Garces C. 🟨,
  • 25', Cerrillo E. 🟨,
  • 28', Zanka 🟥,
  • 35', Dorsey G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sanabria L. , Parente I. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Fagundez D. ,
  • 72', Raines B. , Lodeiro N. ,
  • 83', Bassi A. , Aliyu I. ,
  • 83', Fagundez D. , Lepley T. ,
  • 85', Escobar F. 🟨,
  • 87', Ramirez C. , Aude J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Los Angeles Galaxy
47.8%
Draw
25.6%
Houston Dynamo
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 25.2% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 24.9% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.83)
    3.72
    (3.73)
    3.55
    (4.05)
    4.8%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Houston will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy won 2.
    • LA Galaxy is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Houston is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Houston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • LA Galaxy will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Cuevas M. (Hamstring Injury) Puig R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Houston: Ennali L. (Knee Injury) Holmes D. (Lower-Body Injury) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 31:33 (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams LA Galaxy won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:1
    25.05.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo 2:1
    02.09.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo 0:0
    08.04.2023 Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles Galaxy 3:0
    09.10.2022 Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:3
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6Inter Miami1685336:27929
    7New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    8Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    9New York City1984724:21328
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC19451022:25-317
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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