Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Austin FC - Houston Dynamo
Result
2:2
09/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
Austin FC - Houston Dynamo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.85
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
87% (386/444)91% (438/481)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.95
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
914
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2029
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
87% (386/444)91% (438/481)
Long passes
34% (12/35)62% (26/42)
Passes in final third
78% (117/150)77% (87/113)
Crosses
42% (5/12)50% (11/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.21
Throw-ins
1111
Fouls
1211
Tackles
75% (9/12)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3429
Clearances
2024
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.951.59
Goals prevented
-1.05-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Sanchez I. ,
  • 37', Desler M. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Guilherme Biro , Bukari O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', Bartlow E. , Antonio Carlos ,
  • 49', Bukari O. 🟨,
  • 53', Lingr O. 🟨,
  • 57', Raines B. , Ennali L. ,
  • 63', Uzuni M. 🟨,
  • 69', Ponce E. , Bassi A. ,
  • 69', Holmes D. , Kowalczyk S. ,
  • 71', Rubio D. , Taylor R. ,
  • 71', Sanchez I. , Sabovic B. ,
  • 79', 2 - 1, McGlynn J. (Pen),
  • 89', 2 - 2, McGlynn J. , Ennali L. (A),
  • 90+2', Bukari O. , Gallagher J. ,
  • 90+2', Desler M. , Obrian J. ,
  • 90+2', Wolff O. , Fodrey C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin FC
47%
Draw
27.2%
Houston Dynamo
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 29.1% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 29.8% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Austin FC - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.16)
    3.47
    (3.27)
    3.66
    (3.52)
    5.4%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Austin FC - Houston Dynamo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Austin (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Austin FC will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 3.
    • Austin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Houston has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Austin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Austin has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Houston has had a series of home games.
    • Austin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Austin: Beloko N. (Health problems)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Austin won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 3:1
    26.04.2025 Houston Dynamo - Austin FC 2:0
    21.09.2024 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 0:1
    15.05.2024 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 1:0
    20.04.2024 Houston Dynamo - Austin FC 0:1
    Latest results of Austin FC
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 32179663:352860
    3Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 31168761:372456
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 321310955:47849
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd325121537:58-2127
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Austin FC - Houston Dynamo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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