Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Austin FC - Houston Dynamo
Result
2:2
09/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
Austin FC - Houston Dynamo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.85
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
87% (386/444)91% (438/481)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.95
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
914
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2029
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
87% (386/444)91% (438/481)
Long passes
34% (12/35)62% (26/42)
Passes in final third
78% (117/150)77% (87/113)
Crosses
42% (5/12)50% (11/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.21
Throw-ins
1111
Fouls
1211
Tackles
75% (9/12)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3429
Clearances
2024
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.951.59
Goals prevented
-1.05-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Sanchez I. ,
  • 37', Desler M. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Guilherme Biro , Bukari O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', Bartlow E. , Antonio Carlos ,
  • 49', Bukari O. 🟨,
  • 53', Lingr O. 🟨,
  • 57', Raines B. , Ennali L. ,
  • 63', Uzuni M. 🟨,
  • 69', Ponce E. , Bassi A. ,
  • 69', Holmes D. , Kowalczyk S. ,
  • 71', Rubio D. , Taylor R. ,
  • 71', Sanchez I. , Sabovic B. ,
  • 79', 2 - 1, McGlynn J. (Pen),
  • 89', 2 - 2, McGlynn J. , Ennali L. (A),
  • 90+2', Bukari O. , Gallagher J. ,
  • 90+2', Desler M. , Obrian J. ,
  • 90+2', Wolff O. , Fodrey C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin FC
47%
Draw
27.2%
Houston Dynamo
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 29.1% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 29.8% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Austin FC - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.16)
    3.47
    (3.27)
    3.66
    (3.52)
    5.4%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Austin FC - Houston Dynamo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Austin (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Austin FC will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 3.
    • Austin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Houston has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Austin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Austin has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Houston has had a series of home games.
    • Austin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Austin: Beloko N. (Health problems)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Austin won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 3:1
    26.04.2025 Houston Dynamo - Austin FC 2:0
    21.09.2024 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 0:1
    15.05.2024 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 1:0
    20.04.2024 Houston Dynamo - Austin FC 0:1
    Latest results of Austin FC
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC27164752:331952
    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps26137644:291546
    4Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes27881150:47332
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo26781133:42-929
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC27145844:311347
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City25125836:30641
    9Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    10New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Austin FC - Houston Dynamo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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