Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim
Result
2:2
09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 33
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.47
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
81% (376/467)77% (303/392)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.520.85
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2734
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
81% (376/467)77% (303/392)
Long passes
45% (29/64)42% (25/60)
Passes in final third
74% (100/135)64% (75/117)
Crosses
32% (6/19)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.81
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1110
Tackles
94% (15/16)85% (11/13)
Duels won
4546
Clearances
3628
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.851.52
Goals prevented
-1.150.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Ostigard L. (Own goal),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Kaderabek P. , Bulter M. (A),
  • 43', Stach A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Vranckx A. , Skov Olsen A. ,
  • 46', Kaminski J. , Majer L. ,
  • 61', Fischer K. , Roerslev Rasmussen M. ,
  • 71', Toure B. , Tabakovic H. ,
  • 72', Wimmer P. , Nmecha L. ,
  • 80', Kramaric A. 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Wind J. , Majer L. (A),
  • 84', 2 - 2, Bulter M. , Hlozek A. (A),
  • 88', Bischof T. , Becker F. O. ,
  • 89', Amoura M. , Tomas T. ,
  • 90+3', Kramaric A. , Geiger D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
36.4%
Draw
26.1%
Hoffenheim
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 24.6% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 25.2% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wolfsburg's form might have worsened.
  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolfsburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (1.99)
    3.7
    (3.92)
    2.59
    (3.58)
    3.6%
    (3.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 3.
    • Wolfsburg has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Hoffenheim's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M. (Muscle Injury) Arnold M. (Red Card) Bornauw S. (Foot Injury) Broger B. (Injury) Muller M. (Illness) Paredes K. (Muscle Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Broken collarbone) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Moerstedt M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Promel G. (Knee Injury) Samassekou D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Geiger D. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:29. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg 0:1
    04.12.2024 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 3:0
    04.02.2024 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2:2
    02.09.2023 Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg 3:1
    13.05.2023 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2:1
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    26.04.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 0:1
    19.04.2025 Mainz - Wolfsburg 2:2
    11.04.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:3
    06.04.2025 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 33247295:326379
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 321911268:373168
    3Eintracht Frankfurt32168863:432056
    4Freiburg331671048:50-255
    5Dortmund321561164:491551
    6Mainz331491053:411251
    7RB Leipzig331312851:45651
    8Werder Bremen331391150:56-648
    9B. Monchengladbach331361455:56-145
    10Stuttgart321281257:51644
    11Augsburg3211101134:45-1143
    12Wolfsburg3310101355:54140
    13Union Berlin339101433:50-1737
    14Hoffenheim337111546:64-1832
    15St. Pauli32871726:37-1131
    16Heidenheim33852036:60-2429
    17Holstein Kiel ✔ 33672049:77-2825
    18Bochum ✔ 33572131:67-3622

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    Which TV channels are streaming of Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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