RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim
Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 28
  • Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.79
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
89% (536/605)80% (240/299)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.600.84
Total shots
169
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
3014
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
89% (536/605)80% (240/299)
Long passes
50% (13/26)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
79% (150/191)61% (42/69)
Crosses
21% (6/28)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.46
Fouls
1013
Tackles
47% (7/15)56% (5/9)
Duels won
4327
Clearances Total
2026
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.841.60
Goals prevented
-0.16-1.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', Toure B. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Bischof T. , Toure B. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Sesko B. , Raum D. (A),
  • 28', Ostigard L. 🟥,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Baku R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Baku R. , Gomis T. ,
  • 46', Vermeeren A. , Baumgartner C. ,
  • 46', Bulter M. , Akpoguma K. ,
  • 72', Arthur Chaves 🟨,
  • 73', Nedeljkovic K. , Klostermann L. ,
  • 73', Seiwald N. , Haidara A. ,
  • 76', Tabakovic H. , Orban G. ,
  • 81', Openda L. , Poulsen Y. ,
  • 82', Arthur Chaves , Jurasek D. ,
  • 82', Toure B. , Hlozek A. ,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Poulsen Y. , Gomis T. (A),
  • 89', Kramaric A. , Tohumcu U. ,
  • 90', Orban G. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2sckrtax

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig 57.9%Draw 22.3%Hoffenheim 19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
RB Leipzig 62.7%Draw 20.6%Hoffenheim 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

RB Leipzig 64.5%Draw 20%Hoffenheim 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.53)
    4.34
    (4.66)
    4.9
    (5.74)
    4.3%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 3.
    • RB Leipzig is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Hoffenheim is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Hoffenheim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nusa A. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Schlager X. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Knee Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Prass A. (Ankle Injury) Promel G. (Knee Injury) Samassekou D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Kampl K. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Hlozek A. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 34:25 (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:10 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 4:3
    03.05.2024 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 1:1
    16.12.2023 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1
    01.02.2023 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1
    05.11.2022 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 1:3
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    29.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 1:1
    14.03.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 1:0
    09.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 1:1
    01.03.2025 Bochum - Hoffenheim 0:1
    23.02.2025 Hoffenheim - Stuttgart 1:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 32237293:326176
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 321911268:373168
    3Eintracht Frankfurt32168863:432056
    4Freiburg321571046:49-352
    5Dortmund321561164:491551
    6RB Leipzig321311851:45650
    7Mainz321391049:40948
    8Werder Bremen321381150:56-647
    9B. Monchengladbach321361355:54145
    10Stuttgart321281257:51644
    11Augsburg3211101134:45-1143
    12Wolfsburg321091353:52139
    13Union Berlin329101333:47-1437
    14St. Pauli32871726:37-1131
    15Hoffenheim327101544:62-1831
    16Heidenheim32752033:60-2726
    17Holstein Kiel32671948:75-2725
    18Bochum32572030:63-3322

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Which TV channels are streaming of RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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