Hoffenheim vs Augsburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Hoffenheim - Augsburg
Result
1:1
29/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 27
  • Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
Hoffenheim - Augsburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.69
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
81% (417/513)76% (309/406)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.900.93
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
2710
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
81% (417/513)76% (309/406)
Long passes
32% (13/41)48% (32/66)
Passes in final third
73% (106/145)65% (81/125)
Crosses
26% (10/38)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.41
Fouls
1412
Tackles
71% (10/14)43% (6/14)
Duels won
4244
Clearances Total
3645
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.930.90
Goals prevented
-0.07-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Zesiger C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Tietz P. , Essende S. ,
  • 46', 0 - 1, Essende S. , Zesiger C. (A),
  • 57', Onyeka F. 🟨,
  • 61', Orban G. , Tabakovic H. ,
  • 61', Kaderabek P. , Gendrey V. ,
  • 68', Toure B. , Geiger D. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Kramaric A. (Pen),
  • 72', Onyeka F. , Jakic K. ,
  • 72', Wolf M. , Koudossou H. ,
  • 76', Bulter M. 🟨,
  • 80', Jensen F. , Maier A. ,
  • 84', Jurasek D. , Nsoki S. ,
  • 89', Claude-Maurice A. , Pedersen M. ,

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
40.1%
Draw
28.3%
Augsburg
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 28.5% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 29% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Hoffenheim aligns with the current prediction.
  • The ML Model estimate for Augsburg aligns with the current prediction.
  • Hoffenheim - Augsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.43)
    3.38
    (3.37)
    3.04
    (3)
    4.2%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Augsburg?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Augsburg will win (votes: 12 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 30%70%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 1.
    • Recent matches Hoffenheim is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Augsburg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Augsburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Knee Injury) Hlozek A. (Ankle Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Moerstedt M. (Calf Injury) Promel G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Kabadayi Y. (Knee Injury) Oxford R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Prass A. (Ankle Injury) Samassekou D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Augsburg: Berisha M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 38:18 (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:11 (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Augsburg were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Augsburg - Hoffenheim 0:0
    07.04.2024 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 3:1
    06.01.2024 Augsburg - Hoffenheim 1:0
    11.11.2023 Augsburg - Hoffenheim 1:1
    17.02.2023 Augsburg - Hoffenheim 1:0
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    14.03.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 1:0
    09.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 1:1
    01.03.2025 Bochum - Hoffenheim 0:1
    23.02.2025 Hoffenheim - Stuttgart 1:1
    16.02.2025 Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim 1:3
    Latest results of Augsburg
    15.03.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 1:0
    02.03.2025 Augsburg - Freiburg 0:0
    14.02.2025 Augsburg - RB Leipzig 0:0
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1HeidenheimElversberg2 : 1, 2 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Hoffenheim - Augsburg?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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