IFK Mariehamn vs HJK: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga IFK Mariehamn - HJK
Result
0:4
24/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
IFK Mariehamn - HJK - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.513.76
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
727
Shots on target
313
Big Chances
06
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
82% (323/395)85% (452/533)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.513.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.374.23
Total shots
727
Shots on target
313
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
423
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
06
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1053
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
105
Passes
82% (323/395)85% (452/533)
Long passes
37% (19/51)52% (30/58)
Passes in final third
66% (69/104)80% (158/197)
Crosses
27% (4/15)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.592.52
Throw-ins
1423
Fouls
510
Tackles
57% (13/23)55% (11/20)
Duels won
4749
Clearances
2616
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
93
xGOT faced
4.230.37
Goals prevented
0.230.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Pukki T. , Mentu P. (A),
  • 43', Kanellopoulos G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 49', Hostikka S. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Ring A. ,
  • 66', Olawale M. 🟨,
  • 67', Patut E. , Heyden J. ,
  • 67', Cardoso H. , Andersson L. ,
  • 75', Michel B. , Ezeh D. ,
  • 76', 0 - 3, Hostikka S. ,
  • 77', Ring A. , Vuorinen V. ,
  • 77', Pukki T. , Lingman L. ,
  • 77', Dahlstrom S. , Reid J. ,
  • 77', Olawale M. , Muskwe A. ,
  • 83', Kanellopoulos G. , Ritari M. ,
  • 84', Hostikka S. , Mero T. ,
  • 87', 0 - 4, Antzoulas G. ,
  • 88', Huttunen A. , Nunez W. ,

Chances of winning


IFK Mariehamn
12.9%
Draw
20%
HJK
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.3% 22.4% 58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6% 21.6% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that IFK Mariehamn's form might have worsened.
  • HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HJK's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IFK Mariehamn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HJK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • IFK Mariehamn - HJK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.34
    (4.91)
    4.8
    (4.23)
    1.41
    (1.63)
    5.4%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - HJK?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is HJK will win! (6 of 6 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 0.
    • Mariehamn is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • HJK is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mariehamn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, HJK is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M. (Inactive) Riikonen M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in HJK: Hudd R. (Illness) Kallinen J. (Inactive) Moller L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 15:43. (average 0.8:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - HJK were as follows:
    14.02.2025 HJK - IFK Mariehamn 2:1
    30.06.2024 IFK Mariehamn - HJK 1:2
    20.04.2024 HJK - IFK Mariehamn 2:1
    26.01.2024 HJK - IFK Mariehamn 1:0
    05.08.2023 HJK - IFK Mariehamn 4:2
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    17.05.2025 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 0:1
    06.05.2025 LPS - IFK Mariehamn 0:1
    03.05.2025 Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn 2:0
    27.04.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Ilves 3:2
    Latest results of HJK
    20.05.2025 HJK - SJK 4:2
    17.05.2025 HJK - KTP Kotka 4:1
    11.05.2025 FF Jaro - HJK 0:3
    03.05.2025 Inter Turku - HJK 1:1
    26.04.2025 HJK - VPS Vaasa 3:1
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1KuPS1172216:9723
    2Inter Turku963018:61221
    3Ilves1061321:12919
    4HJK1052321:101117
    5SJK1143417:17015
    6VPS942314:14014
    7Haka932412:14-211
    8Gnistan932412:15-311
    9Mariehamn1032511:20-911
    10Jaro92257:11-48
    11KTP91359:22-136
    12AC Oulu1012713:21-85

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of IFK Mariehamn - HJK?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandRuutu+
    worldWorldOnefootball
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