HJK vs Arda Kardzhali: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

31/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Bolt Arena (Helsinki).

: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
6	4
Corner Kicks
6	2
Yellow Cards
4	2
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
7	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
21	30
Throw-ins
22	23
Fouls
24	14
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Idowu D. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Meriluoto K. ⚽, Ring A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Meriluoto K. 🟨,
61', Lyons-Foster B. ↓, Simojoki K. ↑,
61', Meriluoto K. ↓, Hostikka S. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Pukki T. ⚽, Ring A. (A),
76', Kovachev S. ↓, Shinyashiki A. ↑,
76', Yusein S. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Karagaren B. ⚽,
90', Karagaren B. ↓, Mane I. ↑,
90+1', Shinyashiki A. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Lingman L. ↓, Mentu P. ↑,
96', Antzoulas G. 🟨,
97', Ring A. 🟨,
104', Hostikka S. 🟨,
105+1', Nikolov G. ↓, Kazakov I. ↑,
105+1', Kallinen J. ↓, Besuijen V. ↑,
108', Gustavo Cascardo 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Pukki T. (Pen),
1, Vutov A. (Pen),
2, Michel B. (Pen),
2, Velkovski D. (Pen),
3, Hostikka S. (Pen),
3, Kotev L. (Pen),
4, Ring A. (Pen),
4, Idowu D. (Pen),
5, Antzoulas G. (Pen),
5, Shinyashiki A. (Pen),

Chances of winning

HJK
57.4%

Draw
25.1%

Arda Kardzhali
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27.9%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

26.2%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HJK's performance.

Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

HJK - Arda Kardzhali Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.77)	3.69 ↑ (3.19)	5.29 ↑ (4.1)	7.7% (12.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for HJK - Arda Kardzhali?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. HJK (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Arda (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - HJK (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: HJK will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. HJK (votes: 6 - 60%). Arda (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
HJK is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Arda's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Arda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Arda has had a series of home games.
In this match, HJK is considered a favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, HJK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Arda Kardzhali?

HJK has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against HJK?

Arda Kardzhali has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between HJK - Arda Kardzhali were as follows:

24.07.2025 Arda Kardzhali - HJK 0:0

Latest results of HJK

28.07.2025 Gnistan - HJK 2:4 ✺

24.07.2025 Arda Kardzhali - HJK 0:0 ✺

20.07.2025 HJK - Oulu 3:1 ✺

17.07.2025 HJK - NSÍ Runavík 5:0 ✺

10.07.2025 NSÍ Runavík - HJK 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Arda Kardzhali

27.07.2025 Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Sofia 1:1 ✺

24.07.2025 Arda Kardzhali - HJK 0:0 ✺

18.07.2025 CSKA 1948 Sofia - Arda Kardzhali 1:0 ✺

11.07.2025 Arda Kardzhali - Beitar Jerusalem 1:2 ✺

08.07.2025 Arda Kardzhali - Septemvri Sofia 1:2 ✺

Draw

2026/27

1/8-finals

1	Rijeka	Bye
3	Lugano	Bye
4	Bye	Dukagjini
5	FCSB	Bye
6	Bye	Auda
7	Rakow	Bye
8	Bye	Valletta
9	Debrecen	Bye
10	Marsaxlokk	Pyunik Yerevan	0 : 3
11	Goteborg	Bye
12	Caernarfon	Levadia	0 : 5
13	Varazdin	Bye
14	Bye	Jablonec
15	Bravo	Bye
16	Europa FC	Shkendija	0 : 5
17	Shelbourne	Bye
18	Kalju	Linfield	1 : 0
19	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
20	Bye	Noah
22	Dinamo Tirana	FC Astana	0 : 1
23	AF Elbasani	BATE	1 : 1
24	Bye	Sion
25	Motherwell	Bye
26	Bye	HB Torshavn
27	Vllaznia	Malisheva	2 : 1
28	Bye	Hibernian
29	Paks	Bye
30	Bye	Panathinaikos
32	Bye	Ajax
33	LNZ Cherkasy	Bye
34	Bye	Gent
35	Hapoel Tel Aviv	Bye
36	Bye	Ludogorets
37	Bohemians	St Josephs	2 : 0
38	Connahs Q.	FC Ballkani	0 : 0
39	Vaduz	Bye
40	Mornar Bar	Atletic Escaldes	1 : 2
41	NSI Runavik	Hamrun	1 : 1
42	Bye	Koper
43	Partizan	Bye
44	UNA Strassen	La Fiorita	1 : 0
45	Basaksehir	Bye
46	FK Sarajevo	Inter Turku	1 : 1
47	HJK	Bye
48	Bye	Coleraine
49	Glentoran	RFS	1 : 2
51	Decic	FK Liepaja	0 : 1
52	Bye	Austria Vienna
53	GAIS	Bye
54	Bye	Nordsjaelland
56	Bye	GKS Katowice
57	Dila Gori	Virtus	3 : 1
58	Bye	Apollon
60	Bye	Brann
61	Valur	Bye
62	Bye	Zrinjski
63	Mondorf	Dinamo Tbilisi	1 : 2
64	Petrovac	Zalgiris	1 : 3
65	Dun. Streda	Bye
66	Velez Mostar	Milsami	1 : 1
67	Vikingur	Stjarnan	1 : 3
68	Differdange	Ilves	0 : 0
69	FK Panevezys	Bye
70	Bye	Tobol
71	Neftci Baku	Bye
72	Din. Minsk	Sileks	0 : 1
73	Zeleznicar Pancevo	Bye
74	Bye	Braga
75	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
76	Bye	FC Copenhagen
77	Penybont	FC Santa Coloma	0 : 1
78	Bye	SK Rapid
79	Alashkert	Yelimay Semey	1 : 1
80	Bye	CFR Cluj
81	Hegelmann	Paide	1 : 1
82	Zira	Torpedo Kutaisi	3 : 0
83	Trnava	Bye
84	Bye	CSKA 1948 Sofia
85	AEK Larnaca	Bye
86	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem

Quarter-finals

1	Rijeka	Bye
2	Lugano	Dukagjini
3	FCSB	Auda
4	Rakow	Valletta
5	Debrecen	TBD #10
6	Goteborg	TBD #12
7	Varazdin	Jablonec
8	Bravo	TBD #16
9	Shelbourne	TBD #18
10	Zimbru Chisinau	Noah
11	Bye	TBD #22
12	TBD #23	Sion
13	Motherwell	HB Torshavn
14	TBD #27	Hibernian
15	Paks	Panathinaikos
16	Bye	Ajax
17	LNZ Cherkasy	Gent
18	Hapoel Tel Aviv	Ludogorets
19	TBD #37	TBD #38
20	Vaduz	TBD #40
21	TBD #41	Koper
22	Partizan	TBD #44
23	Basaksehir	TBD #46
24	HJK	Coleraine
25	TBD #49	Bye
26	TBD #51	Austria Vienna
27	GAIS	Nordsjaelland
28	Bye	GKS Katowice
29	TBD #57	Apollon
30	Bye	Brann
31	Valur	Zrinjski
32	TBD #63	TBD #64
33	Dun. Streda	TBD #66
34	TBD #67	TBD #68
35	FK Panevezys	Tobol
36	TBD #71	TBD #72
37	Zeleznicar Pancevo	Braga
38	Polissya Zhytomyr	FC Copenhagen
39	TBD #77	SK Rapid
40	TBD #79	CFR Cluj
41	TBD #81	TBD #82
42	Trnava	CSKA 1948 Sofia
43	AEK Larnaca	Beitar Jerusalem

Which TV channels are streaming of HJK - Arda Kardzhali?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Finland	HJK TV
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV