NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo
Result
1:1
31/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 21
  • Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.541.26
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
1812
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
93
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Shots inside the Box
1211
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Free Kicks
66
Offsides
10
Fouls
66
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
2023
Touches in the Opposition Box
3521
Passes
83% (391/471)81% (358/444)
Passes in the final third
74% (100/135)72% (102/141)
Crosses
31% (8/26)38% (6/16)
Tackles
65% (15/23)64% (14/22)
Clearances Total
1533
Interceptions
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Omarsson E. , Sauer L. (A),
  • 10', Kemper B. , Kongolo T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', 1 - 1, Talvitie J. , van Kaam D. (A),
  • 63', Bruns T. , Zand S. ,
  • 63', Hornkamp J. , Kulenovic L. ,
  • 64', Kaied A. , Leemans C. ,
  • 71', Greiml L. 🟨,
  • 72', Podgoreanu S. , Limbombe B. ,
  • 81', Janosek D. , Jensen F. ,
  • 81', Sauer L. , Kuijpers R. ,
  • 81', van Hooijdonk S. , Kostorz K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
51.7%
Draw
26.6%
Heracles Almelo
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 22.5% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8% 23.5% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NAC Breda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.71)
    3.58
    (4.2)
    4.36
    (4.3)
    5.1%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Breda won 1.
    • Recent matches Breda is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Heracles is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Heracles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Breda is a favorite.
    • There are questionable in Breda: Valerius C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heracles: Bultman S. (Injury) Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Laursen N. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Breda won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20:34 (average 1.3:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Breda won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:15 (average 1.8:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Heracles Almelo - NAC Breda 2:0
    12.05.2023 NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo 0:3
    11.11.2022 Heracles Almelo - NAC Breda 5:1
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    25.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda 3:2
    19.01.2025 NAC Breda - Twente 2:1
    12.01.2025 NAC Breda - Heerenveen 2:4
    07.01.2025 NAC Breda - Servette 3:2
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV ✔ 332445100:386276
    2Ajax ✔ 33236465:323375
    3Feyenoord ✔ 33208576:364068
    4Utrecht ✔ 33189662:451763
    5AZ Alkmaar ✔ 33168957:362156
    6Twente ✔ 33159962:471554
    7G.A. Eagles ✔ 331491054:50451
    8Nijmegen331171549:45440
    9Heerenveen331171540:57-1740
    10Sittard331171537:54-1740
    11Sparta Rotterdam339121238:40-239
    12Groningen331091440:51-1139
    13Zwolle339111341:51-1038
    14Heracles339111341:61-2038
    15NAC Breda33881733:57-2432
    16Willem II33672033:55-2225
    17Waalwijk33572139:71-3222
    18Almere City ✔ 33492022:63-4121

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSV is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Feyenoord is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    Utrecht is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )
    AZ Alkmaar is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    G.A. Eagles is Qualified for Europa League (League phase )
    Almere City is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
    Which TV channels are streaming of NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2
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