Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Eredivisie - Round 6
- Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.22 | 0.78 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
85% (432/507) | 76% (232/305) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.22 | 0.78 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.96 | 1.19 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
85% (432/507) | 76% (232/305) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (27/51) | 43% (26/60) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (121/159) | 54% (52/96) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (7/33) | 38% (5/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.59 | 1.08 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (5/10) | 64% (9/14) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 54 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.19 | 1.96 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.19 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Borges Sanches Y. ⚽,
- 45', Hillen R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Benita M. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Kemper B. ⚽,
- 62', Limbombe B. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
- 62', Bruns T. ↓, Ould Chikh W. ↑,
- 63', Hrustic A. 🟨,
- 68', Hornkamp J. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
- 69', Greiml L. ↓, Mahmutovic E. ↑,
- 81', Talvitie J. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
- 81', Lucassen B. ↓, Valerius C. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, van Hooijdonk S. ⚽, Kemper B. (A),
- 87', Benita M. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
- 87', Mirani D. ↓, te Wierik M. ↑,
- 88', Nassoh M. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,
Chances of winning
NAC Breda 44.6% | Draw 27.7% | Heracles Almelo 27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+2%)
NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↑ (2.21) |
3.59 ↑ (3.43) |
3.53 ↑ (3.18) |
-0.6% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo?
Users Predictions:
NAC Breda will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NAC Breda will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 0.
- Breda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Heracles has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Breda might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Breda: Soumano M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Breda won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Heracles Almelo?
NAC Breda has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against NAC Breda?
Heracles Almelo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
31.01.2025
NAC Breda
-
Heracles Almelo
1:1
02.11.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
NAC Breda
2:0
12.05.2023
NAC Breda
-
Heracles Almelo
0:3
11.11.2022
Heracles Almelo
-
NAC Breda
5:1
Latest results of NAC Breda
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Feyenoord | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 16 |
2 | PSV | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 13 |
3 | Ajax | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
4 | Groningen | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
6 | Sittard | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
7 | Nijmegen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 9 |
8 | Utrecht | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
9 | G.A. Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 |
11 | Twente | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
12 | NAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Zwolle | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
14 | Excelsior | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
15 | Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
16 | FC Volendam | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
18 | Heracles | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:18 | -15 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Which TV channels are streaming of NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |