NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo
Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 6
  • Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.220.78
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
85% (432/507)76% (232/305)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.220.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.961.19
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
158
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
2918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
179
Passes
85% (432/507)76% (232/305)
Long passes
53% (27/51)43% (26/60)
Passes in final third
76% (121/159)54% (52/96)
Crosses
21% (7/33)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.591.08
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
917
Tackles
50% (5/10)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4947
Clearances
1454
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.191.96
Goals prevented
0.19-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Borges Sanches Y. ,
  • 45', Hillen R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Benita M. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Kemper B. ,
  • 62', Limbombe B. , van Gilst T. ,
  • 62', Bruns T. , Ould Chikh W. ,
  • 63', Hrustic A. 🟨,
  • 68', Hornkamp J. , Kulenovic L. ,
  • 69', Greiml L. , Mahmutovic E. ,
  • 81', Talvitie J. , Paula R. ,
  • 81', Lucassen B. , Valerius C. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, van Hooijdonk S. , Kemper B. (A),
  • 87', Benita M. , Engels M. ,
  • 87', Mirani D. , te Wierik M. ,
  • 88', Nassoh M. , Jensen F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
44.6%
Draw
27.7%
Heracles Almelo
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 27.6% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 27.6% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.21)
    3.59
    (3.43)
    3.53
    (3.18)
    -0.6%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo?
  • Users Predictions: NAC Breda will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NAC Breda will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 0.
    • Breda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Heracles has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Breda might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Breda: Soumano M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Reine-Adelaide J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Breda won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.3:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
    31.01.2025 NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo 1:1
    02.11.2024 Heracles Almelo - NAC Breda 2:0
    12.05.2023 NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo 0:3
    11.11.2022 Heracles Almelo - NAC Breda 5:1
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    13.09.2025 Twente - NAC Breda 2:2
    31.08.2025 NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    24.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    09.08.2025 Feyenoord - NAC Breda 2:0
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord651014:41016
    2PSV641119:10913
    3Ajax633012:6612
    4Groningen640212:9312
    5AZ Alkmaar532012:7511
    6Sittard631210:9110
    7Nijmegen630319:1279
    8Utrecht630311:569
    9G.A. Eagles623111:929
    10Sparta Rotterdam63038:16-89
    11Twente62139:817
    12NAC Breda62136:10-47
    13Zwolle52034:7-36
    14Excelsior62045:13-86
    15Heerenveen61238:10-25
    16FC Volendam60427:11-44
    17Telstar61145:11-64
    18Heracles60063:18-150

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Which TV channels are streaming of NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
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