Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Heidenheim - Werder Bremen
Result
1:4
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 34
  • Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
Heidenheim - Werder Bremen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.18
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
86% (426/497)84% (403/480)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.18
xG on target (xGOT)
2.612.78
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
112
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2029
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
86% (426/497)84% (403/480)
Long passes
52% (22/42)52% (33/63)
Passes in final third
70% (71/102)72% (89/123)
Crosses
29% (6/21)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.031.18
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
1111
Tackles
62% (8/13)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4544
Clearances
1321
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
2.782.61
Goals prevented
-1.221.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Schmid R. (Pen),
  • 33', 0 - 2, Stage J. , Ducksch M. (A),
  • 39', Traore O. H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Schoppner J. , Kerber L. ,
  • 46', Dorsch N. , Niehues J. ,
  • 46', Gimber B. , Zivzivadze B. ,
  • 46', Beck A. , Scienza L. ,
  • 55', Stage J. 🟨,
  • 66', 0 - 3, Ducksch M. , Weiser M. (A),
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 72', Agu F. , Kohn D. ,
  • 72', Grull M. , Njinmah J. ,
  • 72', Stage J. , Bittencourt L. ,
  • 78', Honsak M. , Fohrenbach J. ,
  • 80', 1 - 3, Kerber L. , Scienza L. (A),
  • 83', Pieper A. 🟨,
  • 83', Scienza L. 🟨,
  • 84', Ducksch M. , Topp K. ,
  • 85', Pieper A. , Jung A. ,
  • 86', 1 - 4, Topp K. , Njinmah J. (A),

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
40.1%
Draw
24.9%
Werder Bremen
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 25.9% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 26.4% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Heidenheim - Werder Bremen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.46)
    3.85
    (3.7)
    2.76
    (2.74)
    4.1%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Werder Bremen?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 3.
    • Recent performances by Heidenheim have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Werder is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Heidenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Werder: Burke O. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Janes L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Werder: Kabore I. (Arm Injury) Veljkovic M. (Calf Injury) Zetterer M. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Werder Bremen were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Werder Bremen - Heidenheim 3:3
    10.02.2024 Werder Bremen - Heidenheim 1:2
    17.09.2023 Heidenheim - Werder Bremen 4:2
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    10.05.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 0:3
    02.05.2025 Heidenheim - Bochum 0:0
    25.04.2025 Stuttgart - Heidenheim 0:1
    19.04.2025 Heidenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    10.05.2025 Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig 0:0
    27.04.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 0:0
    19.04.2025 Werder Bremen - Bochum 1:0
    13.04.2025 Stuttgart - Werder Bremen 1:2
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1HeidenheimElversberg2 : 1, 2 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Heidenheim - Werder Bremen?
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