Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Heidenheim - Werder Bremen
Result
1:4
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 34
  • Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
Heidenheim - Werder Bremen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.18
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
86% (426/497)84% (403/480)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.18
xG on target (xGOT)
2.612.78
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
112
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2029
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
86% (426/497)84% (403/480)
Long passes
52% (22/42)52% (33/63)
Passes in final third
70% (71/102)72% (89/123)
Crosses
29% (6/21)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.031.18
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
1111
Tackles
62% (8/13)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4544
Clearances
1321
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
2.782.61
Goals prevented
-1.221.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Schmid R. (Pen),
  • 33', 0 - 2, Stage J. , Ducksch M. (A),
  • 39', Traore O. H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Schoppner J. , Kerber L. ,
  • 46', Dorsch N. , Niehues J. ,
  • 46', Gimber B. , Zivzivadze B. ,
  • 46', Beck A. , Scienza L. ,
  • 55', Stage J. 🟨,
  • 66', 0 - 3, Ducksch M. , Weiser M. (A),
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 72', Agu F. , Kohn D. ,
  • 72', Grull M. , Njinmah J. ,
  • 72', Stage J. , Bittencourt L. ,
  • 78', Honsak M. , Fohrenbach J. ,
  • 80', 1 - 3, Kerber L. , Scienza L. (A),
  • 83', Pieper A. 🟨,
  • 83', Scienza L. 🟨,
  • 84', Ducksch M. , Topp K. ,
  • 85', Pieper A. , Jung A. ,
  • 86', 1 - 4, Topp K. , Njinmah J. (A),

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
40.1%
Draw
24.9%
Werder Bremen
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 25.9% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 26.4% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Heidenheim - Werder Bremen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.46)
    3.85
    (3.7)
    2.76
    (2.74)
    4.1%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Werder Bremen?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 3.
    • Recent performances by Heidenheim have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Werder is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Heidenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Werder: Burke O. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Janes L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Werder: Kabore I. (Arm Injury) Veljkovic M. (Calf Injury) Zetterer M. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Werder Bremen were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Werder Bremen - Heidenheim 3:3
    10.02.2024 Werder Bremen - Heidenheim 1:2
    17.09.2023 Heidenheim - Werder Bremen 4:2
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    10.05.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 0:3
    02.05.2025 Heidenheim - Bochum 0:0
    25.04.2025 Stuttgart - Heidenheim 0:1
    19.04.2025 Heidenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    10.05.2025 Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig 0:0
    27.04.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 0:0
    19.04.2025 Werder Bremen - Bochum 1:0
    13.04.2025 Stuttgart - Werder Bremen 1:2
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 34257299:326782
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 341912372:432969
    3Eintracht Frankfurt34179868:462260
    4Dortmund341761171:512057
    5Freiburg341671149:53-455
    6Mainz3414101055:431252
    7RB Leipzig341312953:48551
    8Werder Bremen341491154:57-351
    9Stuttgart341481264:531150
    10B. Monchengladbach341361555:57-245
    11Wolfsburg3411101356:54243
    12Augsburg3411101335:51-1643
    13Union Berlin3410101435:51-1640
    14St. Pauli34881828:41-1332
    15Hoffenheim347111646:68-2232
    16Heidenheim34852137:64-2729
    17Holstein Kiel ✔ 34672149:80-3125
    18Bochum ✔ 34672133:67-3425

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
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