Elversberg vs Heidenheim: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Elversberg - Heidenheim
Result
1:2
26/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Relegation - Final
Elversberg - Heidenheim - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.55
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
83% (453/548)70% (201/289)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.701.41
Total shots
811
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1013
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
812
Passes
83% (453/548)70% (201/289)
Long passes
52% (32/62)43% (23/54)
Passes in final third
57% (66/116)47% (35/74)
Crosses
8% (1/12)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.57
Throw-ins
2017
Fouls
128
Tackles
76% (13/17)63% (12/19)
Duels won
3754
Clearances
1229
Interceptions
1016
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.410.70
Goals prevented
-0.59-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Honsak M. , Scienza L. (A),
  • 18', Sahin S. , Sickinger C. ,
  • 23', Pieringer M. , Zivzivadze B. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Fellhauer R. , Zimmerschied T. (A),
  • 43', Traore O. H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Kerber L. 🟨,
  • 68', Zimmerschied T. 🟨,
  • 78', Kerber L. , Dorsch N. ,
  • 78', Honsak M. , Wanner P. ,
  • 79', Wanner P. 🟨,
  • 86', Zimmerschied T. , Schnellbacher L. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, Scienza L. , Wanner P. (A),
  • 90+7', Petkov L. , Feil M. ,
  • 90+7', Damar M. , Ebnoutalib Y. ,
  • 90+7', Scienza L. , Gimber B. ,
  • 90+7', Kratzig F. , Fohrenbach J. ,

Chances of winning


Elversberg
44.6%
Draw
27%
Heidenheim
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 26.1% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 26.7% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elversberg's performance.
  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heidenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elversberg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heidenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elversberg - Heidenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.47)
    3.57
    (3.66)
    3.35
    (2.72)
    3.9%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Elversberg - Heidenheim?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
    • Elversberg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Heidenheim has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Elversberg has had a series of away games.
    • Elversberg might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Jakel F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Janes L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Heidenheim were as follows:
    22.05.2025 Heidenheim - Elversberg 2:2
    Latest results of Elversberg
    22.05.2025 Heidenheim - Elversberg 2:2
    18.05.2025 Schalke 04 - Elversberg 1:2
    04.05.2025 Nürnberg - Elversberg 1:3
    26.04.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:1
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    22.05.2025 Heidenheim - Elversberg 2:2
    17.05.2025 Heidenheim - Werder Bremen 1:4
    10.05.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 0:3
    02.05.2025 Heidenheim - Bochum 0:0
    25.04.2025 Stuttgart - Heidenheim 0:1
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1HeidenheimElversberg2 : 1, 2 : 2
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