St. Mirren vs Hearts: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Scottish League Cup St. Mirren - Hearts
Result
2:1 penalties
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: McLean S. (Sco)
St. Mirren - Hearts - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
36
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
610
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
36
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Magnusson T. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Gogic A. , John D. (A),
  • 41', John D. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Kabore P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', John D. , Tanser S. ,
  • 46', Kabore P. , Kabangu E. ,
  • 46', Magnusson T. , Baningime B. ,
  • 46', Kyziridis A. , Braga C. ,
  • 74', Halkett C. , Forrest A. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, McEntee O. , Milne H. (A),
  • 83', Richardson J. , Sobowale T. ,
  • 83', Baccus K. , Idowu R. ,
  • 83', Mandron M. , Mooney E. ,
  • 90', Ayunga J. , King R. ,
  • 90+3', Fraser M. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 97', McEntee O. , Steinwender M. ,
  • 105', Milne H. , Kingsley S. ,
  • 105', Phillips K. , Dijksteel M. ,
  • 109', King R. 🟨,
  • 117', Kabangu E. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, George S. 🟨,
  • 1, Shankland L. (Pen),
  • 2, King R. (Pen),
  • 2, Kingsley S. (Pen),
  • 3, Fraser M. (Pen),
  • 3, Braga C. (Pen),
  • 4, Idowu R. (Pen),
  • 4, Forrest A. (Pen),
  • 5, Mooney E. (Pen),
  • 5, Baningime B. (Pen),
  • 6, Dijksteel M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


St. Mirren
35.5%
Draw
30.1%
Hearts
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 27.9% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 27.4% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hearts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hearts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • St. Mirren - Hearts Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.92)
    3.37
    (3.33)
    3.08
    (2.31)
    -2.6%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for St. Mirren - Hearts?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hearts (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Hearts will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 1.
    • St. Mirren is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hearts is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Hearts is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Mirren - Hearts were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Hearts - St. Mirren 3:1
    10.02.2025 St. Mirren - Hearts 1:2
    19.10.2024 Hearts - St. Mirren 4:0
    21.09.2024 St. Mirren - Hearts 2:1
    15.05.2024 St. Mirren - Hearts 2:2
    Latest results of St. Mirren
    09.08.2025 St. Mirren - Motherwell 0:0
    03.08.2025 Celtic - St. Mirren 1:0
    27.07.2025 St. Mirren - Ayr United 2:1
    Latest results of Hearts
    10.08.2025 Dundee United - Hearts 2:3
    04.08.2025 Hearts - Aberdeen 2:0
    26.07.2025 Hearts - Sunderland 3:0
    23.07.2025 Hearts - Dumbarton 4:0
    19.07.2025 Stirling Albion - Hearts 0:4
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1CelticFalkirk4 : 1
    2KilmarnockDundee Utd
    3RangersAlloa4 : 2
    4LivingstonHibernian
    5St JohnstoneMotherwell0 : 1
    6MortonAberdeen0 : 3
    7Partick ThistleAyr2 : 0
    8St. MirrenHearts2 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of St. Mirren - Hearts?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomHearts TV, Premier Sports Player, St Mirren TV
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