Gold Coast Suns vs Hawthorn Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

TIO Stadium (Darwin).

: AFL - Round 10

Match Stats


Goals
16	15
Behinds
8	6
Kicks
192	204
Handballs
168	135
Disposals
360	339
Frees For
19	21
Frees Against
21	19
Clearances Completed
50	35
Marks
72	69
Tackles
67	58
Hitouts
54	37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (32 - 12)
02:54, (Behind Rushed),
04:12, Moore D. (G),
07:55, Miller T. (G),
09:49, Long B. (G),
12:21, Walter J. (Behind),
14:21, Humphrey B. (G),
18:22, King B. (G),
23:36, Ainsworth B. (G),
29:24, Watson N. (G),
2nd Quarter (26 - 32)
00:53, Hardwick B. (G),
06:42, King B. (Behind),
09:05, Moore D. (Behind),
12:24, Long B. (G),
14:19, Clohesy S. (G),
15:32, Flanders S. (G),
21:26, Watson N. (G),
22:35, (Behind Rushed),
24:02, Weddle J. (Behind),
25:10, Anderson N. (G),
30:56, Watson N. (G),
32:30, Amon K. (G),
34:54, Ginnivan J. (G),
3rd Quarter (14 - 31)
00:22, Flanders S. (Behind),
04:38, King B. (G),
06:35, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
09:51, Chol M. (G),
13:13, Long B. (Behind),
14:47, Hardwick B. (G),
19:00, Newcombe J. (G),
20:31, Ainsworth B. (G),
25:09, Morrison H. (G),
28:49, Hardwick B. (G),
4th Quarter (32 - 21)
02:31, Swallow D. (G),
03:43, Rosas Jnr. M. (Behind),
05:40, Worpel J. (Behind),
07:26, Long B. (G),
16:32, Rosas Jnr. M. (G),
18:26, Chol M. (G),
19:50, Macdonald C. (Behind),
20:38, (Behind Rushed),
22:04, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
23:31, Ginnivan J. (G),
24:45, Miller T. (G),
27:46, Long B. (G),
29:43, Chol M. (G),

Chances of winning

Gold Coast Suns
61.2%

Hawthorn Hawks
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gold Coast Suns's performance.

Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawthorn Hawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gold Coast Suns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawthorn Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.89)		2.39 ↑ (1.93)	7.4% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

What is the prediction for Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hawthorn (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 98:87.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Gold Coast could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1193:1305. (average 70.2:76.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 632:421. (average 90.3:60.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Gold Coast Suns won against Hawthorn Hawks?

Gold Coast Suns has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Gold Coast Suns?

Hawthorn Hawks has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:

13.04.2024 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 109:56

25.06.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 101:34

Latest results of Gold Coast Suns

10.05.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs 106:96 ✺

04.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 66:49 ✺

26.04.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Sydney Swans 117:79 ✺

19.04.2025 Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns 80:69 ✺

11.04.2025 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Gold Coast Suns 89:141 ✺

Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks

09.05.2025 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 56:91 ✺

04.05.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers 109:44 ✺

27.04.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - West Coast Eagles 124:74 ✺

21.04.2025 Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks 86:79 ✺

13.04.2025 Port Adelaide Power - Hawthorn Hawks 121:91 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	13	11	0	2	1197:893	134.04	44
2	Geelong Cats	14	10	0	4	1426:1066	133.77	40
3	Brisbane Lions	14	9	1	4	1224:1109	110.37	38
4	Adelaide Crows	14	9	0	5	1357:1004	135.16	36
5	Hawthorn Hawks	14	9	0	5	1197:1073	111.56	36
6	Gold Coast Suns	12	8	0	4	1114:904	123.23	32
7	GWS Giants	14	8	0	6	1188:1104	107.61	32
8	Fremantle Dockers	13	8	0	5	1086:1019	106.58	32
9	Western Bulldogs	13	7	0	6	1342:1051	127.69	28
10	Carlton Blues	13	6	0	7	1053:987	106.69	24
11	Port Adelaide Power	13	6	0	7	994:1174	84.67	24
12	Essendon Bombers	13	6	0	7	947:1200	78.92	24
13	Sydney Swans	13	5	0	8	1004:1114	90.13	20
14	St Kilda Saints	13	5	0	8	1053:1199	87.82	20
15	Melbourne Demons	14	5	0	9	1091:1252	87.14	20
16	North Melbourne	13	3	1	9	1003:1244	80.63	14
17	Richmond Tigers	13	3	0	10	853:1229	69.41	12
18	West Coast Eagles	14	1	0	13	944:1451	65.06	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 4