Gold Coast Suns vs Hawthorn Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks
Result
104:96
15/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 10
Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1615
Behinds
86
Kicks
192204
Handballs
168135
Disposals
360339
Frees For
1921
Frees Against
2119
Clearances Completed
5035
Marks
7269
Tackles
6758
Hitouts
5437

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (32 - 12)
  • 02:54, (Behind Rushed),
  • 04:12, Moore D. (G),
  • 07:55, Miller T. (G),
  • 09:49, Long B. (G),
  • 12:21, Walter J. (Behind),
  • 14:21, Humphrey B. (G),
  • 18:22, King B. (G),
  • 23:36, Ainsworth B. (G),
  • 29:24, Watson N. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (26 - 32)
  • 00:53, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 06:42, King B. (Behind),
  • 09:05, Moore D. (Behind),
  • 12:24, Long B. (G),
  • 14:19, Clohesy S. (G),
  • 15:32, Flanders S. (G),
  • 21:26, Watson N. (G),
  • 22:35, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:02, Weddle J. (Behind),
  • 25:10, Anderson N. (G),
  • 30:56, Watson N. (G),
  • 32:30, Amon K. (G),
  • 34:54, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (14 - 31)
  • 00:22, Flanders S. (Behind),
  • 04:38, King B. (G),
  • 06:35, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
  • 09:51, Chol M. (G),
  • 13:13, Long B. (Behind),
  • 14:47, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 19:00, Newcombe J. (G),
  • 20:31, Ainsworth B. (G),
  • 25:09, Morrison H. (G),
  • 28:49, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (32 - 21)
  • 02:31, Swallow D. (G),
  • 03:43, Rosas Jnr. M. (Behind),
  • 05:40, Worpel J. (Behind),
  • 07:26, Long B. (G),
  • 16:32, Rosas Jnr. M. (G),
  • 18:26, Chol M. (G),
  • 19:50, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 20:38, (Behind Rushed),
  • 22:04, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
  • 23:31, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 24:45, Miller T. (G),
  • 27:46, Long B. (G),
  • 29:43, Chol M. (G),

Chances of winning


Gold Coast Suns
61.2%
Hawthorn Hawks
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 53.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gold Coast Suns's performance.
  • Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawthorn Hawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gold Coast Suns that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawthorn Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.89)

    2.39
    (1.93)
    7.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
  • What is the prediction for Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hawthorn (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 98:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Gold Coast could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1193:1305. (average 70.2:76.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 632:421. (average 90.3:60.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
    13.04.2024 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 109:56
    25.06.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 101:34
    Latest results of Gold Coast Suns
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2015052019:1401144.1160
    2Collingwood Magpies2015051807:1382130.7560
    3Brisbane Lions2014151781:1589112.0858
    4Geelong Cats2014062102:1517138.5656
    5Fremantle Dockers2014061730:1531113.0056
    6Gold Coast Suns1913061784:1426125.1152
    7Hawthorn Hawks2013071764:1500117.6052
    8GWS Giants2013071766:1586111.3552
    9Western Bulldogs2012082165:1577137.2948
    10Sydney Swans20100101567:165094.9740
    11Port Adelaide Power2080121484:185979.8332
    12Melbourne Demons2070131671:175995.0028
    13Carlton Blues2070131517:164892.0528
    14St Kilda Saints2070131613:184687.3828
    15Essendon Bombers1960131281:178071.9724
    16Richmond Tigers2050151246:190365.4820
    17North Melbourne2041151491:203273.3818
    18West Coast Eagles2010191305:210761.944

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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