Gold Coast Suns vs Hawthorn Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks
Result
104:96
15/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 10
Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1615
Behinds
86
Kicks
192204
Handballs
168135
Disposals
360339
Frees For
1921
Frees Against
2119
Clearances Completed
5035
Marks
7269
Tackles
6758
Hitouts
5437

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (32 - 12)
  • 02:54, (Behind Rushed),
  • 04:12, Moore D. (G),
  • 07:55, Miller T. (G),
  • 09:49, Long B. (G),
  • 12:21, Walter J. (Behind),
  • 14:21, Humphrey B. (G),
  • 18:22, King B. (G),
  • 23:36, Ainsworth B. (G),
  • 29:24, Watson N. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (26 - 32)
  • 00:53, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 06:42, King B. (Behind),
  • 09:05, Moore D. (Behind),
  • 12:24, Long B. (G),
  • 14:19, Clohesy S. (G),
  • 15:32, Flanders S. (G),
  • 21:26, Watson N. (G),
  • 22:35, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:02, Weddle J. (Behind),
  • 25:10, Anderson N. (G),
  • 30:56, Watson N. (G),
  • 32:30, Amon K. (G),
  • 34:54, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (14 - 31)
  • 00:22, Flanders S. (Behind),
  • 04:38, King B. (G),
  • 06:35, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
  • 09:51, Chol M. (G),
  • 13:13, Long B. (Behind),
  • 14:47, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 19:00, Newcombe J. (G),
  • 20:31, Ainsworth B. (G),
  • 25:09, Morrison H. (G),
  • 28:49, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (32 - 21)
  • 02:31, Swallow D. (G),
  • 03:43, Rosas Jnr. M. (Behind),
  • 05:40, Worpel J. (Behind),
  • 07:26, Long B. (G),
  • 16:32, Rosas Jnr. M. (G),
  • 18:26, Chol M. (G),
  • 19:50, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 20:38, (Behind Rushed),
  • 22:04, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
  • 23:31, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 24:45, Miller T. (G),
  • 27:46, Long B. (G),
  • 29:43, Chol M. (G),

Chances of winning


Gold Coast Suns
61.2%
Hawthorn Hawks
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 53.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gold Coast Suns's performance.
  • Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawthorn Hawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gold Coast Suns that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawthorn Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.89)

    2.39
    (1.93)
    7.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
  • What is the prediction for Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hawthorn (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 98:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Gold Coast could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1193:1305. (average 70.2:76.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 632:421. (average 90.3:60.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
    13.04.2024 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 109:56
    25.06.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 101:34
    Latest results of Gold Coast Suns
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1311021197:893134.0444
    2Geelong Cats1410041426:1066133.7740
    3Brisbane Lions149141224:1109110.3738
    4Adelaide Crows149051357:1004135.1636
    5Hawthorn Hawks149051197:1073111.5636
    6Gold Coast Suns128041114:904123.2332
    7GWS Giants148061188:1104107.6132
    8Western Bulldogs137061342:1051127.6928
    9Fremantle Dockers127051013:952106.4128
    10Essendon Bombers13607947:120078.9224
    11Carlton Blues12507967:935103.4220
    12Sydney Swans135081004:111490.1320
    13Melbourne Demons135081023:115988.2720
    14St Kilda Saints135081053:119987.8220
    15Port Adelaide Power12507901:110681.4620
    16North Melbourne12318936:117179.9314
    17Richmond Tigers133010853:122969.4112
    18West Coast Eagles131012892:136565.354

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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