Hawkes Bay vs Wellington: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Hawkes Bay - Wellington
Result
45:19
05/09/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bunnings NPC
Hawkes Bay - Wellington - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (24 - 7)
  • 2nd Half (21 - 12)

Chances of winning


Hawkes Bay
63.7%
Draw
3.7%
Wellington
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 3.8% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 3.8% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hawkes Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hawkes Bay's performance.
  • Wellington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawkes Bay than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hawkes Bay that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wellington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hawkes Bay - Wellington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.76)
    24.5
    (24)
    2.81
    (2.08)
    9.3%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • What is the prediction for Hawkes Bay - Wellington?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Hawkes Bay will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 33:26.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Wellington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Hawkes Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Hawkes Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 370:369. (average 26.4:26.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hawkes Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 196:163. (average 28:23.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hawkes Bay - Wellington were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Wellington - Hawkes Bay 46:28
    14.10.2023 Wellington - Hawkes Bay 24:25
    29.09.2023 Wellington - Hawkes Bay 18:20
    07.10.2022 Wellington - Hawkes Bay 28:21
    17.09.2022 Hawkes Bay - Wellington 12:19
    Latest results of Hawkes Bay
    30.08.2025 Northland - Hawkes Bay 27:21
    22.08.2025 Hawkes Bay - Canterbury 7:26
    16.08.2025 Hawkes Bay - North Harbour 36:22
    10.08.2025 Otago - Hawkes Bay 21:27
    03.08.2025 Hawkes Bay - Counties Manukau 54:14
    Latest results of Wellington
    30.08.2025 Wellington - Auckland 36:17
    24.08.2025 Manawatu - Wellington 38:28
    16.08.2025 Wellington - Otago 41:46
    08.08.2025 Waikato - Wellington 24:35
    01.08.2025 Wellington - Canterbury 15:33
    New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1Canterbury7700237:9729
    2Hawke's Bay7502215:15022
    3Otago7502208:16922
    4Bay of Plenty7403191:12820
    5Taranaki7403227:15119
    6Tasman7403204:17418
    7Waikato7403175:20718
    8Northland7403162:16916
    9Manawatu7304194:26214
    10Southland7304140:22113
    11Auckland7205180:23411
    12Counties Manukau7205189:22510
    13Wellington7205200:24610
    14North Harbour7007144:2333

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