Hawkes Bay vs Otago: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Hawkes Bay - Otago
Result
35:24
04/09/2026 at 03:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NPC - Round 6
Hawkes Bay - Otago - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion goals
00
Conversion goal attempts
00
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
00
Metres run with ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 24)
  • 2nd Half (21 - 0)

Chances of winning


Hawkes Bay
65.2%
Draw
3.5%
Otago
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 3.1% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 3.3% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hawkes Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • The chances for Otago have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawkes Bay than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otago than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Hawkes Bay - Otago Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.42)
    26
    (30)
    2.89
    (2.97)
    10.2%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 64.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 4.
    • Hawkes Bay has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Otago is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Hawkes Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Hawkes Bay is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Hawkes Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 429:339. (average 28.6:22.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hawkes Bay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 223:181. (average 31.9:25.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hawkes Bay - Otago were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Otago - Hawkes Bay 21:27
    19.08.2023 Hawkes Bay - Otago 33:32
    Latest results of Hawkes Bay
    27.08.2026 Southland - Hawkes Bay 21:36
    21.08.2026 Hawkes Bay - Manawatu 59:17
    15.08.2026 Auckland - Hawkes Bay 31:44
    08.08.2026 Hawkes Bay - Tasman 50:19
    02.08.2026 Wellington - Hawkes Bay 33:52
    Latest results of Otago
    29.08.2026 Otago - Waikato 43:38
    23.08.2026 Otago - Wellington 61:22
    15.08.2026 Manawatu - Otago 27:29
    08.08.2026 Otago - Canterbury 15:19
    01.08.2026 Southland - Otago 14:41
    Which TV channels are streaming of Hawkes Bay - Otago?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
    worldWorldRugbyPass TV
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