Haka vs HJK: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga Haka - HJK
Result
1:2
17/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
Haka - HJK - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.452.28
Ball Possession
22%78%
Total shots
624
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
61% (121/197)87% (647/740)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.452.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.812.10
Total shots
624
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
415
Shots outside the Box
29
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
1268
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
78
Passes
61% (121/197)87% (647/740)
Long passes
18% (9/51)64% (43/67)
Passes in final third
54% (29/54)81% (253/311)
Crosses
18% (2/11)33% (8/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.381.87
Throw-ins
1526
Fouls
87
Tackles
67% (14/21)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5248
Clearances
5014
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.100.81
Goals prevented
0.10-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Mommo E. , Sejdiu A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', Lingman L. 🟨,
  • 50', Selander R. 🟨,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Antzoulas G. , Lingman L. (A),
  • 57', Selander R. , Lindholm S. ,
  • 57', Sejdiu A. , Bulgakov D. ,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Lingman L. , Hostikka S. (A),
  • 68', Lingman L. , Ezeh D. ,
  • 68', Akintunde J. , Lucas Cini ,
  • 69', Mommo E. 🟨,
  • 80', Mentu P. , Karashima Y. ,
  • 84', Almen M. 🟨,
  • 87', Friberg N. 🟨,
  • 89', Okyere A. , Romero E. ,
  • 90', Multanen K. , Parfitt-Williams D. ,
  • 90+2', Simojoki K. , Lyons-Foster B. ,

Chances of winning


Haka
20.4%
Draw
22%
HJK
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.8% 22.4% 49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 22% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haka's form might have worsened.
  • HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HJK's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HJK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Haka - HJK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.77
    (3.3)
    4.37
    (4.1)
    1.68
    (1.84)
    3.5%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Haka - HJK?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Haka will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). HJK will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for HJK: 53.9%93.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Haka (votes: 1 - 16.7%). HJK (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
    • HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haka won 1.
    • Haka has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • HJK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Haka has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, HJK is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Haka: Gianini Dantas N. (Inactive) Houston J. (Inactive) Hughes L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in HJK: Ezeh D. (Inactive) Moller L. (Inactive) O'Shaughnessy D. (Inactive) Ost J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in HJK: Mentu P. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 14:50. (average 0.7:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Haka won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:23. (average 0.9:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Haka - HJK were as follows:
    18.06.2025 HJK - Haka 3:1
    08.02.2025 HJK - Haka 3:1
    06.10.2024 HJK - Haka 0:1
    20.07.2024 HJK - Haka 2:0
    27.04.2024 Haka - HJK 1:1
    Latest results of Haka
    09.08.2025 FF Jaro - Haka 2:1
    02.08.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Haka 3:2
    26.07.2025 Haka - KTP Kotka 2:3
    21.07.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Haka 1:1
    13.07.2025 Gnistan - Haka 2:0
    Latest results of HJK
    11.08.2025 HJK - Ilves 5:1
    04.08.2025 HJK - Inter Turku 1:4
    31.07.2025 HJK - Arda Kardzhali 2:3
    28.07.2025 Gnistan - HJK 2:4
    24.07.2025 Arda Kardzhali - HJK 0:0
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku ✔ 20127144:182643
    2KuPS ✔ 20124435:211440
    3Ilves ✔ 20123544:261839
    4HJK ✔ 20122647:262138
    5SJK ✔ 20114541:281337
    6Gnistan2067730:35-525
    7VPS2057828:30-222
    8Jaro20641022:32-1022
    9Mariehamn2056922:38-1621
    10Haka20441223:37-1416
    11AC Oulu ✔ 20431325:43-1815
    12KTP ✔ 20351221:48-2714

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    SJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    AC Oulu is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
    KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Haka - HJK?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandRuutu+
    worldWorldOnefootball
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