Independiente vs Guaraní Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Independiente - Guaraní Asuncion
Result
1:0
15/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
Independiente - Guaraní Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.560.14
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
357
Shots on target
80
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
88% (510/579)70% (178/254)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
3.560.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.420.00
Total shots
357
Shots on target
80
Shots off target
203
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
222
Shots outside the Box
135
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
5712
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
156
Passes
88% (510/579)70% (178/254)
Long passes
52% (15/29)36% (15/42)
Passes in final third
76% (145/192)54% (34/63)
Crosses
34% (12/35)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.530.52
Throw-ins
1417
Fouls
615
Tackles
94% (17/18)55% (17/31)
Duels won
5352
Clearances
1249
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
xGOT faced
0.001.42
Goals prevented
0.000.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Tarzia D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Torales Richard , Fernandez D. ,
  • 61', Barrientos N. , Mendieta W. ,
  • 61', Vargas G. , Cespedes V. ,
  • 65', Ibarrola W. , Ramirez I. ,
  • 66', Gimenez M. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 66', Montiel S. , Millan L. ,
  • 68', Manzur A. 🟨,
  • 74', Cabral L. , Galdames P. ,
  • 76', Maiz A. , Pinatares B. ,
  • 80', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
  • 82', Angulo A. 🟨,
  • 89', Tarzia D. , Salle S. ,
  • 90+5', Lopez M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
75.2%
Draw
16.8%
Guaraní Asuncion
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.9% 22.1% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 20.3% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente's performance.
  • Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Independiente - Guaraní Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.41)
    5.65
    (4.26)
    11.61
    (8.52)
    5.9%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Independiente - Guaraní Asuncion?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 3.
    • Recent performances by Independiente have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guaraní is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Independiente is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
    22.04.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Independiente 2:1
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente - Guaraní Asuncion?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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