AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar - Groningen
Result
3:0
11/05/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 32
AZ Alkmaar - Groningen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.65
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
124
Big Chances
90
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
85% (370/433)85% (381/447)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.65
xG on target (xGOT)
3.210.36
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
124
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
90
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
3016
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
119
Passes
85% (370/433)85% (381/447)
Long passes
58% (21/36)54% (21/39)
Passes in final third
72% (80/111)71% (64/90)
Crosses
39% (7/18)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.81
Throw-ins
912
Fouls
911
Tackles
36% (5/14)31% (4/13)
Duels won
4746
Clearances
1224
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
49
xGOT faced
0.363.21
Goals prevented
0.360.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Mijnans S. , Kasius D. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 0, Poku E. ,
  • 39', Ekdal H. 🟨,
  • 45+2', van Bommel R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Peersman M. , Prins W. ,
  • 48', 3 - 0, Meerdink M. , Koopmeiners P. (A),
  • 68', Mijnans S. , Buurmeester Z. ,
  • 68', van Bommel R. , Addai J. ,
  • 68', Meerdink M. , Sadiq I. ,
  • 71', van Bergen T. , Willumsson B. ,
  • 71', Valente L. , Postema R. ,
  • 71', Ekdal H. , Stam F. ,
  • 81', Prins W. 🟨,
  • 84', Poku E. , Lahdo M. ,
  • 84', Addai J. , de Wit M. ,
  • 87', Resink S. , de Jonge T. ,

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
55.3%
Draw
24.9%
Groningen
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 20.6% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 20.2% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.
  • Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Groningen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • AZ Alkmaar - Groningen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.44)
    3.82
    (4.57)
    4.8
    (6.75)
    5.3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Groningen?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • AZ is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 4.
    • AZ is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Groningen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, AZ is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in AZ: Belic K. (Ribs Injury) Clasie J. (Calf Injury) Goes W. (Red Card) Parrott T. (Groin Injury) Zoet J. (Finger Injury)
    • There will not play in Groningen: Mariani M. (Knock) Turay F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Groningen were as follows:
    18.12.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 3:1
    25.08.2024 Groningen - AZ Alkmaar 0:0
    11.03.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 1:0
    01.10.2022 Groningen - AZ Alkmaar 1:4
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    Latest results of Groningen
    03.05.2025 Groningen - Waalwijk 6:1
    13.04.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 3:1
    05.04.2025 Groningen - PSV Eindhoven 1:3
    02.04.2025 Feyenoord - Groningen 4:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV ✔ 332445100:386276
    2Ajax ✔ 33236465:323375
    3Feyenoord ✔ 33208576:364068
    4Utrecht ✔ 33189662:451763
    5AZ Alkmaar ✔ 33168957:362156
    6Twente ✔ 33159962:471554
    7G.A. Eagles ✔ 331491054:50451
    8Nijmegen331171549:45440
    9Heerenveen331171540:57-1740
    10Sittard331171537:54-1740
    11Sparta Rotterdam339121238:40-239
    12Groningen331091440:51-1139
    13Zwolle339111341:51-1038
    14Heracles339111341:61-2038
    15NAC Breda33881733:57-2432
    16Willem II33672033:55-2225
    17Waalwijk33572139:71-3222
    18Almere City ✔ 33492022:63-4121

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSV is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Feyenoord is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    Utrecht is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )
    AZ Alkmaar is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    G.A. Eagles is Qualified for Europa League (League phase )
    Almere City is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
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