Ajax vs Groningen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Ajax - Groningen
Result
2:0
02/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 14
  • Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
Ajax - Groningen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.74
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
85% (437/514)86% (462/538)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.74
xG on target (xGOT)
2.130.79
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2719
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
85% (437/514)86% (462/538)
Long passes
49% (31/63)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
77% (85/110)69% (95/137)
Crosses
33% (2/6)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.951.19
Throw-ins
1121
Fouls
1410
Tackles
50% (5/10)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4039
Clearances
215
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
0.792.13
Goals prevented
0.790.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Bounida R. , Gloukh O. ,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Godts M. , Taylor K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', de Jonge T. , Land T. ,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Bouwman A. , Gloukh O. (A),
  • 64', Bouwman A. 🟨,
  • 70', Wijndal O. , Rosa L. ,
  • 70', Taha Y. , van der Werff D. ,
  • 70', Rente M. , Mercera T. ,
  • 79', Gloukh O. , Steur S. ,
  • 80', Klaassen D. , Fitz-Jim K. ,
  • 81', Schreuders J. , Eggens N. ,
  • 81', van Bergen T. , Seuntjens M. ,
  • 86', Weghorst W. , Dolberg K. ,
  • 86', Godts M. , Nash P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ajax
50.2%
Draw
25.5%
Groningen
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.1% 20.3% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 19.8% 14.3%

Ajax - Groningen Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.9
(1.45)
3.75
(4.64)
4.01
(6.45)
4.4%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ajax - Groningen?
  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 29 - 63%). Groningen will win (votes: 13 - 28.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 49%77%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 3 - 60%). Groningen (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
  • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 4.
  • Ajax has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • Groningen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Recently, Ajax has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, Ajax is considered a favorite.
  • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:17. (average 2.2:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:4. (average 2.9:0.4).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Groningen were as follows:
14.05.2025 Groningen - Ajax 2:2
06.10.2024 Ajax - Groningen 3:1
16.05.2023 Groningen - Ajax 2:3
Latest results of Ajax
25.11.2025 Ajax - Benfica 0:2
22.11.2025 Ajax - Excelsior 1:2
09.11.2025 Utrecht - Ajax 2:1
05.11.2025 Ajax - Galatasaray 0:3
01.11.2025 Ajax - Heerenveen 1:1
Latest results of Groningen
23.11.2025 Groningen - Zwolle 2:2
09.11.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Groningen 2:0
02.11.2025 Groningen - Twente 1:1
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1PSV15131146:172940
2Feyenoord15111341:182334
3Nijmegen1583439:251427
4Ajax1575328:20826
5AZ Alkmaar1574428:24425
6Groningen1572621:21023
7Utrecht1564526:20622
8Twente1556423:20321
9Sparta Rotterdam1562717:28-1120
10G.A. Eagles1546525:26-118
11Sittard1553721:25-418
12Heerenveen1545623:26-317
13Excelsior1551914:26-1216
14Zwolle1544719:36-1716
15FC Volendam1535719:27-814
16Heracles1542923:37-1414
17NAC Breda1533915:24-912
18Telstar1525817:25-811

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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