Grimsby Town vs Manchester United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Grimsby Town - Manchester United
Result
3:2 penalties
27/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)
Grimsby Town - Manchester United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.622.87
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
1028
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
67% (145/215)87% (457/523)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.622.87
xG on target (xGOT)
1.161.79
Total shots
1028
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
414
Shots inside the Box
819
Shots outside the Box
29
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1646
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
89
Passes
67% (145/215)87% (457/523)
Long passes
49% (26/53)54% (22/41)
Passes in final third
59% (66/112)81% (142/176)
Crosses
17% (3/18)38% (11/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.512.54
Throw-ins
2526
Fouls
108
Tackles
79% (15/19)56% (5/9)
Duels won
4752
Clearances
4629
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.791.16
Goals prevented
-0.21-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Vernam C. , Burns D. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 0, Warren T. , Vernam C. (A),
  • 36', Fredricson T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Dorgu P. , Mbeumo B. ,
  • 46', Fredricson T. , Fernandes B. ,
  • 46', Ugarte M. , de Ligt M. ,
  • 64', Vernam C. , Brown H. ,
  • 64', Green K. , Turi G. D. ,
  • 65', Heaven A. , Mount M. ,
  • 73', Gardner C. , Kabia J. ,
  • 73', McEachran G. , Oduor C. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Mbeumo B. ,
  • 79', Rodgers H. , Staunton R. ,
  • 82', Diallo A. , Zirkzee J. ,
  • 87', Zirkzee J. 🟨,
  • 87', Khouri E. 🟨,
  • 88', McJannett C. 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Maguire H. , Mount M. (A),
  • Penalties (12 - 11)
  • 1, Kabia J. (Pen),
  • 1, Fernandes B. (Pen),
  • 2, Burns D. (Pen),
  • 2, Mbeumo B. (Pen),
  • 3, Oduor C. (Pen),
  • 3, Mount M. (Pen),
  • 4, Staunton R. (Pen),
  • 4, Dalot D. (Pen),
  • 5, Brown H. (Pen),
  • 5, Cunha M. (Pen),
  • 6, McJannett C. (Pen),
  • 6, Zirkzee J. (Pen),
  • 7, Turi G. D. (Pen),
  • 7, Mainoo K. (Pen),
  • 8, Sweeney J. (Pen),
  • 8, Maguire H. (Pen),
  • 9, Khouri E. (Pen),
  • 9, de Ligt M. (Pen),
  • 10, Warren T. (Pen),
  • 10, Sesko B. (Pen),
  • 11, Pym C. (Pen),
  • 11, Onana A. (Pen),
  • 12, Kabia J. (Pen),
  • 12, Fernandes B. (Pen),
  • 13, Burns D. (Pen),
  • 13, Mbeumo B. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
4.9%
Draw
10.1%
Manchester United
85%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
6.8% 12.1% 81.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Grimsby Town - Manchester United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    20.25
    (13.75)
    9.1
    (7.79)
    1.13
    (1.16)
    4.8%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Manchester United?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Man Utd will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 66.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 2 - 40%). Man Utd (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Grimsby is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Man Utd's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Man Utd has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Man Utd is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Man Utd: Mazraoui N. (Thigh Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham
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