Grimsby Town vs Manchester United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Grimsby Town - Manchester United
Result
3:2 penalties
27/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)
Grimsby Town - Manchester United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.622.87
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
1028
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
67% (145/215)87% (457/523)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.622.87
xG on target (xGOT)
1.161.79
Total shots
1028
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
414
Shots inside the Box
819
Shots outside the Box
29
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1646
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
89
Passes
67% (145/215)87% (457/523)
Long passes
49% (26/53)54% (22/41)
Passes in final third
59% (66/112)81% (142/176)
Crosses
17% (3/18)38% (11/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.512.54
Throw-ins
2526
Fouls
108
Tackles
79% (15/19)56% (5/9)
Duels won
4752
Clearances
4629
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.791.16
Goals prevented
-0.21-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Vernam C. , Burns D. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 0, Warren T. , Vernam C. (A),
  • 36', Fredricson T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Dorgu P. , Mbeumo B. ,
  • 46', Fredricson T. , Fernandes B. ,
  • 46', Ugarte M. , de Ligt M. ,
  • 64', Vernam C. , Brown H. ,
  • 64', Green K. , Turi G. D. ,
  • 65', Heaven A. , Mount M. ,
  • 73', Gardner C. , Kabia J. ,
  • 73', McEachran G. , Oduor C. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Mbeumo B. ,
  • 79', Rodgers H. , Staunton R. ,
  • 82', Diallo A. , Zirkzee J. ,
  • 87', Zirkzee J. 🟨,
  • 87', Khouri E. 🟨,
  • 88', McJannett C. 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Maguire H. , Mount M. (A),
  • Penalties (12 - 11)
  • 1, Kabia J. (Pen),
  • 1, Fernandes B. (Pen),
  • 2, Burns D. (Pen),
  • 2, Mbeumo B. (Pen),
  • 3, Oduor C. (Pen),
  • 3, Mount M. (Pen),
  • 4, Staunton R. (Pen),
  • 4, Dalot D. (Pen),
  • 5, Brown H. (Pen),
  • 5, Cunha M. (Pen),
  • 6, McJannett C. (Pen),
  • 6, Zirkzee J. (Pen),
  • 7, Turi G. D. (Pen),
  • 7, Mainoo K. (Pen),
  • 8, Sweeney J. (Pen),
  • 8, Maguire H. (Pen),
  • 9, Khouri E. (Pen),
  • 9, de Ligt M. (Pen),
  • 10, Warren T. (Pen),
  • 10, Sesko B. (Pen),
  • 11, Pym C. (Pen),
  • 11, Onana A. (Pen),
  • 12, Kabia J. (Pen),
  • 12, Fernandes B. (Pen),
  • 13, Burns D. (Pen),
  • 13, Mbeumo B. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
4.9%
Draw
10.1%
Manchester United
85%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
6.8% 12.1% 81.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Grimsby Town - Manchester United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    20.25
    (13.75)
    9.1
    (7.79)
    1.13
    (1.16)
    4.8%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Manchester United?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Man Utd will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 66.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 2 - 40%). Man Utd (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Grimsby is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Man Utd's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Man Utd has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Man Utd is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Man Utd: Mazraoui N. (Thigh Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd
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