Result
1:3
17/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 20
- Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (432/495) | 80% (230/287) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (432/495) | 80% (230/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (20/33) | 41% (16/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (153/185) | 64% (30/47) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 50% (13/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', Reinier 🟨,
- 28', Carlos Vinicius 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Gustavo Scarpa ⚽, Hulk (A),
- 45', Villasanti M. ↓, Dodi ↑,
- 45', 1 - 1, Edenilson ⚽, Marlon (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', 1 - 2, Fabian Balbuena ⚽,
- 60', Reinier ↓, Rony ↑,
- 65', Carlos Vinicius 🟥,
- 68', Natanael ↓, Biel ↑,
- 73', Cuellar G. ↓, Freitas dos Santos R. ↑,
- 73', Alysson ↓, Alex Santana ↑,
- 76', Cuello 🟥,
- 83', Alexsander ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 83', Roman I. ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 84', Olivera C. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 84', Edenilson ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 85', Hulk 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 3, Aravena A. ⚽, Andre Henrique (A),
- 90+3', Andre Henrique 🟨,
- 90+3', Alonso J. 🟥,
- 90+3', Dodi 🟥,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
55.1% | Draw
26.4% | Grêmio
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+2%)
Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.8) |
3.59 ↑
(3.5) |
5.09 ↑
(4.5) |
5.6%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Grêmio will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Grêmio (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 3.
- Atlético MG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Grêmio has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético MG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Fausto Vera
(Muscle Injury)
Renzo Saravia
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Andre Henrique
(Muscle Injury)
Braithwaite M.
(Yellow Cards)
Gustavo Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Edenilson
(Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Broken ankle)
Luan Candido
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Grêmio?
Atlético Mineiro has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Atlético Mineiro?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio were as follows:
29.03.2025
Grêmio
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:1
09.10.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Grêmio
2:1
01.09.2024
Grêmio
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:3
26.11.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Grêmio
3:0
22.07.2023
Grêmio
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 44:9 | 35 | 46 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 27:15 | 12 | 42 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:15 | 19 | 41 |
| 4 | Bahia | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27:17 | 10 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:12 | 14 | 32 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 32 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 26:22 | 4 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 25 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 24 |
| 13 | Internacional | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Gremio | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Santos | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27:29 | -2 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 18:32 | -14 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
