Atlético Grau vs Grêmio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Atlético Grau - Grêmio
Result
0:0
07/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
Atlético Grau - Grêmio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.470.87
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
412
Shots on target
02
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
75% (254/339)88% (513/583)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.470.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.05
Total shots
412
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
824
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
910
Passes
75% (254/339)88% (513/583)
Long passes
31% (19/61)63% (27/43)
Passes in final third
58% (46/79)76% (104/136)
Crosses
20% (3/15)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.281.14
Throw-ins
2721
Fouls
109
Tackles
63% (15/24)65% (15/23)
Duels won
5161
Clearances
3322
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.050.00
Goals prevented
0.050.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', F. Rojas 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Luan Candido , Olivera C. ,
  • 62', Cristaldo F. , Monsalve M. ,
  • 62', Cuellar G. , Ronald ,
  • 70', Sandoval T. , Olivares C. ,
  • 74', Alysson , Andre Henrique ,
  • 77', Bandiera N. , Vasquez A. ,
  • 81', F. Rojas , Reyes J. ,
  • 90', Vasquez A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Jemerson 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Grau
18.2%
Draw
26.5%
Grêmio
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.2% 27.7% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5% 26.8% 51.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Atlético Grau - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.16
    (4.21)
    3.52
    (3.38)
    1.7
    (1.87)
    6.7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Grêmio?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Grau has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Grêmio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Grau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Grêmio is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Grêmio were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Grêmio - Atlético Grau 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Latest results of Grêmio
    04.05.2025 Grêmio - Santos 1:0
    30.04.2025 CS Alagoano - Grêmio 3:2
    24.04.2025 Godoy Cruz - Grêmio 2:2
    19.04.2025 Grêmio - Internacional RS 1:1
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani42209:638
    2Independiente42028:626
    3Nacional Potosi41125:6-14
    4Boston River41127:11-44


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica ✔ 431010:4610
    2Cerro Largo41123:6-34
    3Vitoria40312:3-13
    4Defensa y Justicia40312:4-23


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan431010:2810
    2America De Cali41305:326
    3Corinthians41214:405
    4Racing Montevideo40042:12-100


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz43107:2510
    2Gremio42206:338
    3Grau40222:6-42
    4Sp. Luqueno40133:7-41


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa43109:4510
    2Palestino43018:539
    3Union de Santa Fe41032:7-53
    4Cruzeiro40133:6-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Once Caldas43016:339
    2Fluminense42117:257
    3GV San Jose41124:9-54
    4U. Espanola40222:5-32


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus42206:248
    2Vasco41215:7-25
    3Puerto Cabello41126:514
    4FBC Melgar41124:7-34


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano41307:526
    2Atletico-MG41217:435
    3Caracas41216:7-15
    4Deportes Iquique41126:10-44

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    U. Catolica is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Grau - Grêmio?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
    boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1
    brazilBrazilParamount+
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 3
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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