Brisbane Lions vs Greater Western Sydney Giants: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Brisbane Lions - Greater Western Sydney Giants
Result
96:107
13/06/2025 at 23:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 14
Brisbane Lions - Greater Western Sydney Giants - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1317
Behinds
185
Kicks
210212
Handballs
127145
Disposals
337357
Frees For
1811
Frees Against
1118
Clearances Completed
3529
Marks
10895
Tackles
2842
Hitouts
4228

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (35 - 30)
  • 00:53, (Behind Rushed),
  • 05:09, (Behind Rushed),
  • 06:36, Cadman A. (G),
  • 11:07, Brown C. (G),
  • 12:51, McCluggage H. (G),
  • 15:00, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 18:02, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 18:35, Neale L. (G),
  • 20:30, Starcevich B. (G),
  • 22:25, Hogan J. (G),
  • 24:32, Hogan J. (G),
  • 27:59, (Behind Rushed),
  • 29:10, Cadman A. (G),
  • 40:03, Morris L. (G),
  • 42:48, Morris L. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (29 - 18)
  • 01:33, (Behind Rushed),
  • 05:10, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
  • 08:29, Berry J. (Behind),
  • 12:56, Cadman A. (G),
  • 15:25, McCluggage H. (Behind),
  • 16:17, Morris L. (G),
  • 18:21, Dunkley J. (G),
  • 20:46, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 24:50, Jones D. (G),
  • 26:19, McCluggage H. (Behind),
  • 27:51, Hogan J. (G),
  • 31:19, Day S. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (9 - 27)
  • 00:17, Cadman A. (Behind),
  • 04:15, Hogan J. (G),
  • 05:48, Hogan J. (Behind),
  • 07:23, Hogan J. (G),
  • 09:37, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
  • 11:01, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
  • 12:58, Berry J. (Behind),
  • 16:16, Hogan J. (G),
  • 17:57, Morris L. (G),
  • 23:19, Jones D. (Behind),
  • 26:09, O'Halloran X. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (23 - 32)
  • 00:48, Cadman A. (G),
  • 03:26, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 04:25, Delana J. (Behind),
  • 07:09, Himmelberg H. (G),
  • 09:03, Cadman A. (G),
  • 13:23, Brown C. (G),
  • 15:37, Morris L. (G),
  • 17:00, Brown C. (G),
  • 18:50, Jones D. (Behind),
  • 19:27, Fletcher J. (G),
  • 21:13, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
  • 22:36, Rayner C. (G),
  • 24:37, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 26:07, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
  • 30:04, Morris L. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Brisbane Lions
75.4%
Greater Western Sydney Giants
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.4% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brisbane Lions's performance.
  • Greater Western Sydney Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greater Western Sydney Giants might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brisbane Lions that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greater Western Sydney Giants could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Brisbane Lions - Greater Western Sydney Giants Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.4)

    3.66
    (2.91)
    6.3%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-26)
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • GWS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Brisbane is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1667:1809. (average 87.7:95.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 904:1037. (average 90.4:103.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lions - Greater Western Sydney Giants were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Brisbane Lions 100:105
    09.08.2024 Brisbane Lions - Greater Western Sydney Giants 64:82
    25.04.2024 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Brisbane Lions 113:59
    22.04.2023 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Brisbane Lions 87:108
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1513021393:1026135.7752
    2Brisbane Lions1510141316:1160113.4542
    3Adelaide Crows1510051479:1058139.7940
    4Western Bulldogs1610061716:1288133.2340
    5Geelong Cats1510051477:1158127.5540
    6Hawthorn Hawks1510051347:1138118.3740
    7Fremantle Dockers1510051271:1151110.4340
    8Gold Coast Suns149051317:1095120.2736
    9GWS Giants159061294:1203107.5636
    10Port Adelaide Power157081156:130588.5828
    11Carlton Blues156091186:1181100.4224
    12Sydney Swans156091171:127192.1324
    13Essendon Bombers146081010:130477.4524
    14Melbourne Demons1550101176:135686.7320
    15St Kilda Saints1550101196:138886.1720
    16North Melbourne1641111237:160177.2618
    17Richmond Tigers153012963:148664.8012
    18West Coast Eagles1510141003:153965.174

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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