Gold Coast Suns vs Sydney Swans: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/04/2025 at 23:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

People First Stadium (Gold Coast).

: AFL - Round 7

Match Stats


Goals
17	12
Behinds
15	7
Kicks
188	217
Handballs
151	136
Disposals
339	353
Frees For
21	23
Frees Against
23	21
Clearances Completed
39	30
Marks
83	96
Tackles
48	50
Hitouts
35	37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (14 - 39)
02:59, Powell W. (Behind),
05:48, Heeney I. (Behind),
06:52, King B. (G),
08:49, Ladhams P. (G),
10:23, McLean H. (G),
12:19, Warner C. (G),
15:05, Lloyd J. (Behind),
17:16, Heeney I. (G),
19:57, Long B. (Behind),
20:28, Humphrey B. (G),
24:39, Warner C. (G),
29:58, Heeney I. (Behind),
32:07, Jordon J. (G),
2nd Quarter (28 - 20)
01:01, Cleary C. (Behind),
03:25, Rioli D. (G),
05:06, Humphrey B. (G),
06:27, (Behind Rushed),
08:09, Humphrey B. (Behind),
09:09, (Behind Rushed),
10:38, Witts J. (Behind),
13:06, Campbell B. (G),
15:15, Lloyd J. (Behind),
17:46, Warner C. (G),
20:53, Campbell B. (G),
25:14, Walter J. (G),
27:55, Walter J. (G),
3rd Quarter (42 - 1)
00:45, Weller L. (Behind),
02:44, King B. (G),
04:35, Walter J. (Behind),
08:52, Walter J. (G),
10:27, Rioli D. (G),
12:23, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
13:41, Long B. (G),
20:29, Francis A. (Behind),
21:34, Humphrey B. (G),
22:52, Miller T. (Behind),
25:59, Read E. (Behind),
29:13, King B. (G),
31:41, Read E. (Behind),
4th Quarter (33 - 19)
00:30, Rowell M. (G),
03:16, Holman N. (G),
05:15, King B. (G),
11:58, Campbell B. (Behind),
13:27, King B. (G),
15:15, Blakey N. (G),
20:09, Blakey N. (G),
22:15, Blakey N. (G),
25:54, Read E. (Behind),
27:31, Humphrey B. (G),
30:16, Long B. (Behind),
31:46, Miller T. (Behind),

Chances of winning

Gold Coast Suns
64.9%

Sydney Swans
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gold Coast Suns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sydney Swans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gold Coast Suns - Sydney Swans Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)		2.6 ↑ (2.49)	7.6% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

What is the prediction for Gold Coast Suns - Sydney Swans?

The most likely score is 96:80.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gold Coast won 1.
Gold Coast is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Sydney is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Gold Coast could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Gold Coast have a series of guest games.
Gold Coast will have a mini benefit in this match.
Our prediction for today's Gold Coast to win the game is with odds 1.47.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Gold Coast won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 1195:1735 (average 62.9:91.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Gold Coast won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 380:535 (average 54.3:76.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Gold Coast Suns won against Sydney Swans?

Gold Coast Suns has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sydney Swans won against Gold Coast Suns?

Sydney Swans has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gold Coast Suns - Sydney Swans were as follows:

28.02.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Sydney Swans 63:84

20.04.2024 Sydney Swans - Gold Coast Suns 110:57

11.08.2023 Sydney Swans - Gold Coast Suns 114:90

18.03.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Sydney Swans 61:110

Latest results of Gold Coast Suns

19.04.2025 Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns 80:69 ✺

11.04.2025 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Gold Coast Suns 89:141 ✺

04.04.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Adelaide Crows 91:90 ✺

28.03.2025 Melbourne Demons - Gold Coast Suns 62:120 ✺

16.03.2025 West Coast Eagles - Gold Coast Suns 49:136 ✺

Latest results of Sydney Swans

20.04.2025 Sydney Swans - Port Adelaide Power 77:85 ✺

11.04.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Sydney Swans 109:78 ✺

05.04.2025 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Sydney Swans 52:117 ✺

23.03.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Sydney Swans 65:68 ✺

15.03.2025 Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions 82:86 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	12	10	0	2	1125:822	136.86	40
2	Brisbane Lions	13	9	1	3	1128:1002	112.57	38
3	Adelaide Crows	13	9	0	4	1313:957	137.20	36
4	Gold Coast Suns	11	8	0	3	1077:843	127.76	32
5	Geelong Cats	12	8	0	4	1214:973	124.77	32
6	Hawthorn Hawks	13	8	0	5	1150:1029	111.76	32
7	GWS Giants	12	7	0	5	1031:942	109.45	28
8	Fremantle Dockers	12	7	0	5	1013:952	106.41	28
9	Western Bulldogs	12	6	0	6	1210:991	122.10	24
10	Essendon Bombers	11	6	0	5	821:971	84.55	24
11	St Kilda Saints	12	5	0	7	993:1067	93.06	20
12	Melbourne Demons	12	5	0	7	952:1087	87.58	20
13	Carlton Blues	11	4	0	7	889:865	102.77	16
14	Sydney Swans	12	4	0	8	924:1078	85.71	16
15	Port Adelaide Power	11	4	0	7	835:1056	79.07	16
16	Richmond Tigers	12	3	0	9	817:1149	71.11	12
17	North Melbourne	11	2	1	8	874:1119	78.11	10
18	West Coast Eagles	12	1	0	11	840:1303	64.47	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Gold Coast Suns - Sydney Swans?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy