Girona vs Real Sociedad: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga
Result
1:1
14/05/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 36
  • Referee: Sesma M. (Esp)
Girona - Real Sociedad - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.220.33
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
296
Shots on target
42
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
63
Passes
91% (508/560)82% (330/401)
Yellow cards
27
Expected goals (xG)
2.220.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.101.01
Total shots
296
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
151
Blocked shots
103
Shots inside the box
175
Shots outside the box
121
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
4616
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1913
Passes
91% (508/560)82% (330/401)
Long passes
58% (15/26)46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
88% (241/275)69% (41/59)
Crosses
26% (11/42)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.37
Throw ins
218
Fouls
1319
Tackles
73% (8/11)67% (16/24)
Duels won
4753
Clearances
1337
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
1.011.10
Goals prevented
0.010.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Barrenetxea A. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Martin J. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
  • 34', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gil B. ↓, Stuani C. ↑,
  • 53', Aramburu J. 🟨,
  • 57', Kubo T. ↓, Carrera G. ↑,
  • 57', Gorrotxategi J. ↓, Soler C. ↑,
  • 57', Witsel A. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
  • 57', Martin I. ↓, Lemar T. ↑,
  • 59', Oyarzabal M. 🟨,
  • 62', Frances A. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Stuani C. ⚽, Martinez A. (A),
  • 73', Gomez S. 🟨,
  • 76', Roca J. 🟨,
  • 80', Tsygankov V. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
  • 82', Caleta-Car D. 🟨,
  • 87', Herrera Y. ↓, Zubeldia I. ↑,
  • 87', Aramburu J. ↓, Turrientes B. ↑,
  • 88', Carrera G. 🟨,
  • 90', Turrientes B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Girona
48.2%		Draw
25.8%		Real Sociedad
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 26.3% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 25.9% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Girona's performance.
  • Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Girona that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Girona - Real Sociedad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.98 ↓
    (2.27)    		 3.69 ↑
    (3.61)    		 3.69 ↑
    (2.99)    		 4.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Girona - Real Sociedad?
    • Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 35 - 62.5%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 7 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 25%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 49.8% – 75.2%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH -0.5 - Real Sociedad (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DC - Girona (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DNB - Girona (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Girona will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Real Sociedad (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
      •
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Real Sociedad is Qualified for Europa League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 1.
    • Girona is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Real Sociedad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Girona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Girona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Girona: Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Portu (Knee Injury) Vanat V. (Injury) ter Stegen M. (Hamstring Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Guedes G. (Toe Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Oskarsson O. (Yellow Cards) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Girona won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Girona - Real Sociedad were as follows:
    12.12.2025 Real Sociedad - Girona 1:2
    18.05.2025 Real Sociedad - Girona 3:2
    19.10.2024 Girona - Real Sociedad 0:1
    03.02.2024 Girona - Real Sociedad 0:0
    12.08.2023 Real Sociedad - Girona 1:1
    Latest results of Girona
    11.05.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Girona 1:1 ✺
    01.05.2026 Girona - Mallorca 0:1 ✺
    25.04.2026 Valencia - Girona 2:1 ✺
    21.04.2026 Girona - Betis 2:3 ✺
    10.04.2026 Real Madrid - Girona 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    09.05.2026 Real Sociedad - Betis 2:2 ✺
    04.05.2026 Sevilla - Real Sociedad 1:0 ✺
    26.04.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad 3:3 ✺
    22.04.2026 Real Sociedad - Getafe 0:1 ✺
    18.04.2026 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 2:3 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona38311695:365994
    2Real Madrid38275677:354286
    3Villarreal382261072:462672
    4Atl. Madrid382161162:441869
    5Betis381515859:481160
    6Celta Vigo3814121253:48554
    7Getafe381561732:38-651
    8Rayo Vallecano3812141241:44-350
    9Valencia3813101546:55-949
    10Real Sociedad3811131459:61-246
    11Espanyol3812101643:55-1246
    12Ath Bilbao381361943:58-1545
    13Sevilla381271946:60-1443
    14Alaves3811101744:56-1243
    15Elche3810131549:57-843
    16Levante381191847:61-1442
    17Osasuna381191844:50-642
    18Mallorca381191847:57-1042
    19Girona389141539:55-1641
    20Oviedo386112126:60-3429

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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