Result
23/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Athletic Bilbao
65.6% | Draw
20.8% | Girona
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Bilbao's performance.Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Athletic Bilbao - Girona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.53) |
4.67 ↑
(3.7) |
7.15 ↑
(5.75) |
3%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Girona?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Girona will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 74.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Athletic Bilbao will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
- Athletic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Girona has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Girona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Athletic is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Girona?
Athletic Bilbao has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Girona won against Athletic Bilbao?
Girona has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Girona were as follows:
08.02.2025
Athletic Bilbao
-
Girona
3:0
06.10.2024
Girona
-
Athletic Bilbao
2:1
19.02.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Girona
3:2
27.11.2023
Girona
-
Athletic Bilbao
1:1
26.02.2023
Athletic Bilbao
-
Girona
2:3
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 13 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Espanyol | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Elche | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Betis | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Ath Bilbao | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Getafe | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Alaves | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Valencia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Atl. Madrid | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Levante | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | R. Oviedo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Mallorca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Girona | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:15 | -13 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2
Which TV channels are streaming of Athletic Bilbao - Girona?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
