Athletic Bilbao vs Girona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Athletic Bilbao - Girona
Result
1:1
23/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 6
  • Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)
Athletic Bilbao - Girona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.69
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
88% (528/600)75% (228/306)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.301.42
Total shots
176
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
349
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1519
Passes
88% (528/600)75% (228/306)
Long passes
62% (24/39)30% (19/64)
Passes in final third
75% (153/205)56% (40/71)
Crosses
20% (8/40)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.640.46
Throw-ins
2217
Fouls
1915
Tackles
65% (11/17)70% (7/10)
Duels won
5644
Clearances
1039
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.421.30
Goals prevented
0.420.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Ounahi A. , Gil B. (A),
  • 33', van de Beek D. , Portu ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Serrano N. , Berenguer A. ,
  • 46', Boiro A. , Berchiche Y. ,
  • 46', Vesga M. , Ruiz de Galarreta I. ,
  • 46', Gorosabel A. , Areso J. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Jauregizar M. ,
  • 68', Ounahi A. 🟨,
  • 76', Solis Romero J. E. , Asprilla Y. ,
  • 76', Gil B. , Martinez A. ,
  • 81', Sancet O. , Navarro R. ,
  • 86', Vanat V. , Stuani C. ,
  • 86', Rincon H. , Kourouma L. ,
  • 90+1', Martin I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
62.5%
Draw
22.7%
Girona
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 24.6% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 23.6% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Athletic Bilbao - Girona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.53)
    4.33
    (3.7)
    6.65
    (5.75)
    -0%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Girona?
  • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 66 - 90.4%). Girona will win (votes: 3 - 4.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 5.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 83.6%97.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Athletic Bilbao will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
    • Athletic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Girona is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Athletic is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Padilla A. (Red Card) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Vivian D. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Lemar T. (Foot Injury) Lopez D. (Muscle Injury) Vitor Reis (Red Card) Witsel A. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Williams N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Girona: Tsygankov V. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Girona were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Girona 3:0
    06.10.2024 Girona - Athletic Bilbao 2:1
    19.02.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Girona 3:2
    27.11.2023 Girona - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    26.02.2023 Athletic Bilbao - Girona 2:3
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Girona
    20.09.2025 Girona - Levante 0:4
    14.09.2025 Celta de Vigo - Girona 1:1
    30.08.2025 Girona - Sevilla 0:2
    24.08.2025 Villarreal - Girona 5:0
    15.08.2025 Girona - Rayo Vallecano 1:3
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid870119:91021
    2Barcelona861122:91319
    3Villarreal851214:8616
    4Betis843113:8515
    5Atl. Madrid834115:10513
    6Sevilla841315:11413
    7Elche834111:9213
    8Ath Bilbao84139:9013
    9Espanyol833211:11012
    10Alaves83239:8111
    11Getafe83239:11-211
    12Osasuna83147:8-110
    13Levante822413:14-18
    14Rayo Vallecano82248:10-28
    15Valencia822410:14-48
    16Celta Vigo80627:10-36
    17R. Oviedo82064:14-106
    18Girona81345:17-126
    19Real Sociedad81257:12-55
    20Mallorca81257:13-65

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Athletic Bilbao - Girona?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 2
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
    australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    bangladeshBangladeshBegin
    boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 2
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport Open Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
    iranIranIRIB Varzesh
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    polandPolandEleven Sports 1
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 2
    usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter
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