Gimnasia La Plata vs Independiente: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente
Result
1:0
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.80
Ball Possession
24%76%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
66% (107/163)88% (473/540)
Yellow Cards
62
Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.80
xG on target (xGOT)
0.910.78
Total shots
814
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1329
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1619
Passes
66% (107/163)88% (473/540)
Long passes
49% (22/45)60% (32/53)
Passes in final third
58% (42/72)72% (109/151)
Crosses
25% (4/16)24% (7/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.12
Throw-ins
730
Fouls
1916
Tackles
63% (20/32)44% (4/9)
Duels won
6542
Clearances
4614
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.780.91
Goals prevented
0.78-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Briasco N. 🟨,
  • 13', Freire N. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Suso G. , Pintado J. (A),
  • 42', Garayalde N. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Giampaoli R. 🟨,
  • 59', Torres M. , Max A. ,
  • 59', Marcone I. , Galdames P. ,
  • 60', Zabala F. , Valenzuela M. ,
  • 67', Garayalde N. , De Asis J. ,
  • 67', Briasco N. , Mamut L. ,
  • 70', Merlo J. , Sosa A. ,
  • 72', Mazzantti W. , Pussetto I. ,
  • 72', Montiel S. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 80', Pintado J. 🟨,
  • 84', Seoane M. 🟨,
  • 87', Godoy L. , Mancuello F. ,
  • 90+2', De Asis J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
23.7%
Draw
32.2%
Independiente
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 29.8% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente's recent form is better than expected.
  • Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.96
    (2.79)
    2.96
    (3.16)
    2.16
    (2.58)
    5.4%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1.
    • Gimnasia La Plata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Independiente could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: German Conti (Inactive) Jan Hurtado (Muscle Injury) Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Melluso M. (Muscle Injury) Merlini B. (Calf Injury) Piedrahita A. (Inactive) Torres F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Inactive) Rodrigo Fernandez (Red Card) Valdez S. (Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata 2:0
    21.11.2024 Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    03.02.2024 Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1
    02.09.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente 1:2
    07.07.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente 1:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    3Estudiantes L.P1253413:13018
    4Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    5Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    6Barracas Central1145213:11217
    7Tigre1245311:9217
    8Huracan124446:10-416
    9Argentinos Jrs1243512:9315
    10Belgrano1236311:9215
    11Racing Club1243513:13015
    12Banfield1242610:17-714
    13Ind. Rivadavia1226410:12-212
    14Newells Old Boys1225510:18-811
    15Aldosivi122375:14-99


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    2Lanus1272313:9423
    3Velez Sarsfield1264217:9822
    4Rosario Central1156013:6721
    5River Plate1253418:12618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    8Sarmiento Junin114349:11-215
    9Instituto123637:11-415
    10San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    11Talleres Cordoba123547:10-314
    12Gimnasia L.P124178:14-613
    13Platense1125411:16-511
    14Godoy Cruz121749:14-510
    15Independiente110656:12-66

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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