Gillingham vs Notts County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Gillingham - Notts County
Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 8
  • Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
Gillingham - Notts County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.66
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
62% (159/255)73% (275/378)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.480.04
Total shots
78
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2111
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
810
Passes
62% (159/255)73% (275/378)
Long passes
37% (31/84)32% (24/75)
Passes in final third
54% (64/119)53% (63/118)
Crosses
18% (4/22)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.38
Throw-ins
3124
Fouls
108
Tackles
85% (11/13)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4554
Clearances
3027
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.041.48
Goals prevented
0.040.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Dennis M. 🟨,
  • 36', Andrews J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 0, Andrews J. , Hutton R. (A),
  • 58', Gordon K. , Cotter B. ,
  • 59', Tsaroulla N. , Jones J. ,
  • 59', Iorpenda T. , Hall T. ,
  • 65', Smith A. 🟨,
  • 69', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 69', Smith J. , Rowe A. ,
  • 75', Nevitt E. 🟨,
  • 78', Norburn O. , Grant C. ,
  • 84', Dennis M. , Robertson S. ,
  • 90+3', Dack B. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Dack B. , Wyllie M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
40.1%
Draw
30.1%
Notts County
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 29.1% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 27.4% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Gillingham - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.29)
    3.11
    (3.18)
    3.16
    (3.06)
    6.3%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gillingham - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.
    • Gillingham is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Notts County is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gillingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Ogie S. (Inactive) Palmer-Houlden S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Jarvis W. (Injury) Luker J. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Notts County were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:2
    21.09.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 0:1
    09.02.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 1:3
    21.10.2023 Gillingham - Notts County 1:2
    Latest results of Gillingham
    06.09.2025 Bromley - Gillingham 2:2
    02.09.2025 Gillingham - Fulham U21 4:1
    19.08.2025 Gillingham - Chesterfield 4:1
    Latest results of Notts County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham963015:6921
    2Salford961216:11519
    3Walsall961212:7519
    4Swindon960319:13618
    5Chesterfield943214:12215
    6Grimsby943214:12215
    7Notts Co942316:10614
    8Bromley935114:10414
    9Cambridge Utd942311:9214
    10Bristol Rovers942310:10014
    11Oldham93428:5313
    12Crewe941412:10213
    13Barnet941411:11013
    14MK Dons933314:9512
    15Fleetwood933311:12-112
    16Harrogate932410:12-211
    17Tranmere823313:1219
    18Accrington82336:8-29
    19Barrow93067:11-49
    20Colchester91538:10-28
    21Crawley92257:15-88
    22Newport91269:16-75
    23Shrewsbury91266:18-125
    24Cheltenham91173:17-144

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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