Genoa vs Parma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A
Soccer Italian Serie A Genoa - Parma
Result
1:0
12/01/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 20
  • Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
Genoa - Parma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.30
Ball Possession
61%39%
Goal Attempts
149
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
53
Blocked Shots
53
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
69
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
1010
Offsides
23
Fouls
1010
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
1919
Touches in the Opposition Box
2514
Passes
87% (473/546)79% (274/345)
Passes in the final third
76% (89/117)63% (71/113)
Crosses
26% (6/23)20% (3/15)
Tackles
79% (15/19)59% (16/27)
Clearances Total
2226
Interceptions
710

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Badelj M. 🟨,
  • 7', Valenti L. 🟨,
  • 36', Hernani 🟨,
  • 38', Pecchia F. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Badelj M. ↓, Kasa L. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Almqvist P. ↓, Cancellieri M. ↑,
  • 60', Balogh B. ↓, Hainaut A. ↑,
  • 64', Kasa L. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Frendrup M. ⚽, Miretti F. (A),
  • 72', Hernani ↓, Camara D. ↑,
  • 72', Mihaila V. ↓, Man D. ↑,
  • 74', Del Prato E. 🟨,
  • 79', Thorsby M. ↓, Masini P. ↑,
  • 79', Miretti F. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
  • 83', Zanoli A. ↓, Sabelli S. ↑,
  • 84', Keita M. ↓, Haj Mohamed A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Genoa
47.1%		Draw
28.1%		Parma
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 26.7% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 27.1% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Genoa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
    •

    Genoa - Parma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.03 ↑
    (2.02)    		 3.42 ↓
    (3.56)    		 3.85 ↑
    (3.63)    		 4.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Genoa - Parma?
  • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 28 - 51.9%). Parma will win (votes: 6 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 37%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 38.6% – 65.2%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Genoa won 2.
    • Recent matches Genoa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Parma is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Genoa is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Genoa: Ahanor H. (Knee Injury) Ekuban C. (Thigh Injury) Malinovsky R. (Ankle Injury) Matturro A. (Shoulder Injury) Messias J. (Calf Injury) Norton-Cuffy B. (Thigh Injury) Vitinha (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Parma: Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Circati A. (Knee Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Parma: Bernabe A. (Thigh Injury) Estevez N. (Thigh Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Genoa won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:26 (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Genoa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.5:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Parma were as follows:
    04.11.2024 Parma - Genoa 0:1
    05.02.2023 Parma - Genoa 2:0
    03.09.2022 Genoa - Parma 3:3
    Latest results of Genoa
    05.01.2025 Lecce - Genoa 0:0 ✺
    28.12.2024 Empoli - Genoa 1:2 ✺
    21.12.2024 Genoa - Napoli 1:2 ✺
    15.12.2024 Milan - Genoa 0:0 ✺
    07.12.2024 Genoa - Torino 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Parma
    05.01.2025 Torino - Parma 0:0 ✺
    28.12.2024 Parma - Monza 2:1 ✺
    22.12.2024 Roma - Parma 5:0 ✺
    15.12.2024 Parma - Verona 2:3 ✺
    06.12.2024 Inter Milan - Parma 3:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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