Genk vs Ferencvárosi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cegeka Arena (Genk).

: Europa League - League phase - Round 2
Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.98	1.16
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
86% (485/563)	78% (250/322)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98	1.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.34	2.15
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
5	0
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
22	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
16	8
Passes
86% (485/563)	78% (250/322)
Long passes
61% (43/70)	46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
77% (137/178)	64% (60/94)
Crosses
10% (3/29)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.02	0.29
Throw-ins
17	19
Fouls
8	16
Tackles
67% (10/15)	67% (16/24)
Duels won
46	52
Clearances
19	35
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
2.15	0.34
Goals prevented
1.15	0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Varga B. ⚽, Levi J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Varga B. (Pen),
53', O'Dowda C. ↓, Nagy B. ↑,
65', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
65', Ito J. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
67', Cisse I. 🟨,
74', Gartenmann S. 🟨,
78', El Ouahdi Z. ↓, Nkuba K. ↑,
78', Steuckers J. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
79', Levi J. ↓, Kanichowsky G. ↑,
79', Joseph L. ↓, Dele ↑,
82', Varga B. 🟨,
85', Varga B. ↓, Zachariassen K. ↑,
85', Keita N. ↓, Otvos B. ↑,
86', Kayembe J. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,

Chances of winning

Genk
54.5%

Draw
23.4%

Ferencvárosi
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

20.2%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

21.6%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Genk's form might have worsened.

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferencvárosi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferencvárosi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Genk - Ferencvárosi Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.49)	4.18 ↓ (4.76)	4.47 ↓ (6.39)	2.7% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Genk - Ferencvárosi?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Genk (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Ferencvárosi (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ferencvárosi (2.09) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Genk will win (34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.69% – 97.67%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Genk will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Recent performances by Genk have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ferencvárosi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Genk is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Genk: Heymans D. (Ankle Injury) Sor Y. (Inactive)
There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Lisztes K. (Muscle Injury) Makreckis C. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Genk: Lawal T. (Knee Injury) Medina Y. (Concussion)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Ferencvárosi?

Genk has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ferencvárosi won against Genk?

Ferencvárosi has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Ferencvárosi were as follows:

09.11.2023 Ferencvárosi - Genk 1:1

26.10.2023 Genk - Ferencvárosi 0:0

Latest results of Genk

28.09.2025 Sint-Truidense - Genk 1:2 ✺

25.09.2025 Glasgow Rangers - Genk 0:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 1:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Genk - Charleroi 0:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Anderlecht - Genk 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Ferencvárosi

28.09.2025 Győri ETO - Ferencvárosi 0:2 ✺

25.09.2025 Ferencvárosi - Viktoria Plzeň 1:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri 2:2 ✺

31.08.2025 Debreceni - Ferencvárosi 0:3 ✺

27.08.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi 2:3 ✺

Draw

Qualification

1/8-finals

1	Trabzonspor	Bye
5	Twente	Bye
6	Vojvodina	Ferencvaros	0 : 3, 1 : 2
8	Bye	Gornik Zabrze
9	KuPS	Bye
12	Bye	Univ. Craiova
16	Bye	Ararat-Armenia
17	St. Truiden	Bye
21	Lincoln Red Imps	Bye
24	Bye	Omonia
25	Crvena zvezda	Bye
32	Bye	Plzen
33	Shamrock Rovers	Bye
36	Bye	Egnatia
40	Bye	Lillestrom
41	Jagiellonia	Bye
44	Bye	Rangers
45	Larne	Bye
48	Bye	Iberia 1999
49	Mjallby	Bye
53	Hajduk Split	Zilina	1 : 2, 2 : 0
54	Bye	Pafos
56	Bye	Salzburg
57	Kairat Almaty	Bye
61	Dyn. Kyiv	U. Cluj	1 : 0, 0 : 0
62	Bye	PAOK
63	Hammarby	Bye
64	Bye	Anderlecht
65	Lech Poznan	Bye
68	Bye	Klaksvik
69	Thun	Bye
72	Bye	Vikingur Reykjavik
73	Tromso	Bye
74	Bye	Hradec Kralove
75	Besiktas	Bye
76	Bye	Midtjylland
80	Bye	Kauno Zalgiris
81	St. Gallen	Bye
82	Bye	Benfica
84	Bye	Hearts
88	Bye	Aarhus
89	OFI Crete	Bye
93	Sheriff Tiraspol	Aluminij	1 : 0, 0 : 0
94	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
95	Qarabag	Vestri	3 : 0, 3 : 0
96	CSKA Sofia	Derry City	2 : 1, 3 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Trabzonspor	Bye
3	Twente	Ferencvaros	2 : 2, 1 : 2
4	Bye	Gornik Zabrze
5	KuPS	Bye
6	Bye	Univ. Craiova
8	Bye	Ararat-Armenia
9	St. Truiden	Bye
11	Lincoln Red Imps	Bye
12	Bye	Omonia
13	Crvena zvezda	Bye
16	Bye	Plzen
17	Shamrock Rovers	Bye
18	Bye	Egnatia
20	Bye	Lillestrom
21	Jagiellonia	Bye
22	Bye	Rangers
23	Larne	Bye
24	Bye	Iberia 1999
25	Mjallby	Bye
27	Hajduk Split	Pafos	0 : 4, 2 : 0
28	Bye	Salzburg
29	Kairat Almaty	Bye
31	Dyn. Kyiv	PAOK	0 : 2, 2 : 3
32	Hammarby	Anderlecht	1 : 3, 1 : 1
33	Lech Poznan	Bye
34	Bye	Klaksvik
35	Thun	Bye
36	Bye	Vikingur Reykjavik
37	Tromso	Hradec Kralove	1 : 3, 0 : 1
38	Besiktas	Midtjylland	2 : 0, 1 : 0
40	Bye	Kauno Zalgiris
41	St. Gallen	Benfica	0 : 5, 2 : 1
42	Bye	Hearts
44	Bye	Aarhus
45	OFI Crete	Bye
47	Sheriff Tiraspol	Maccabi Tel Aviv	0 : 1, 0 : 5
48	Qarabag	CSKA Sofia	0 : 1, 0 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Trabzonspor	Bye
2	Ferencvaros	Gornik Zabrze	1 : 1, 1 : 0
3	KuPS	Univ. Craiova	1 : 2, 1 : 1
4	Bye	Ararat-Armenia
5	St. Truiden	Bye
6	Lincoln Red Imps	Omonia	0 : 1, 1 : 1
7	Crvena zvezda	Bye
8	Bye	Plzen
9	Shamrock Rovers	Egnatia	1 : 5, 3 : 1
10	Bye	Lillestrom
11	Jagiellonia	Rangers	1 : 1, 2 : 1
12	Larne	Iberia 1999	1 : 2, 0 : 0
13	Mjallby	Bye
14	Pafos	Salzburg	3 : 3, 0 : 1
15	Kairat Almaty	Bye
16	PAOK	Anderlecht	2 : 3, 0 : 1
17	Lech Poznan	Klaksvik	5 : 0, 1 : 0
18	Thun	Vikingur Reykjavik	2 : 3, 3 : 0
19	Hradec Kralove	Besiktas	0 : 1, 0 : 1
20	Bye	Kauno Zalgiris
21	Benfica	Hearts	1 : 1, 6 : 1
22	Bye	Aarhus
23	OFI Crete	Bye
24	Maccabi Tel Aviv	CSKA Sofia	3 : 1, 0 : 3

Final

1	Trabzonspor	Ferencvaros	0 : 4, 0 : 1
2	Univ. Craiova	Ararat-Armenia	0 : 1, 1 : 1
3	St. Truiden	Omonia	2 : 4, 1 : 0
4	Crvena zvezda	Plzen	1 : 5, 3 : 0
5	Egnatia	Lillestrom	1 : 2, 0 : 0
6	Jagiellonia	Iberia 1999	2 : 1, 4 : 0
7	Mjallby	Salzburg	0 : 3, 0 : 1
8	Kairat Almaty	Anderlecht	0 : 3, 0 : 3
9	Lech Poznan	Thun	2 : 2, 7 : 0
10	Besiktas	Kauno Zalgiris	0 : 1, 3 : 0
11	Benfica	Aarhus	3 : 1, 3 : 1
12	OFI Crete	CSKA Sofia	2 : 0, 3 : 0

Which TV channels are streaming of Genk - Ferencvárosi?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4, RTBF Tipik, Sporza, Sporza
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Czech-republic	Sport 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 10
Germany	RTL+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	Sport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 10, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 14
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus