Gamba Osaka vs Montedio Yamagata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan Emperors Cup Gamba Osaka - Montedio Yamagata
Result
4:5 penalties
16/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Emperors Cup - 1/16-finals
Gamba Osaka - Montedio Yamagata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Kida R. ,
  • 28', Kokubu S. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Kida R. ,
  • 40', 1 - 2, Jebali I. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Nakano S. , Kurokawa K. ,
  • 55', Juan Alano , Welton ,
  • 55', Suzuki T. , Abe S. ,
  • 56', Kokubu S. , Sakamoto K. ,
  • 56', Doi S. , Takahashi J. ,
  • 60', 2 - 2, Kurokawa K. ,
  • 62', Yamashita R. , Kishimoto T. ,
  • 66', Kida R. , Yoshio Kaina ,
  • 66', Disaro A. S. , Horikane S. ,
  • 73', 3 - 2, Jebali I. ,
  • 78', 3 - 3, Takahashi J. ,
  • 82', Lavi N. , Usami T. ,
  • 85', Konishi Y. , Tanaka W. ,
  • 90+1', Abe S. 🟥,
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 91', Miura G. , Fukuoka S. ,
  • 104', Nishimura K. , Shirowa H. ,
  • 117', 3 - 4, Yoshio Kaina ,
  • 118', Welton 🟨,
  • 120+3', Tanaka W. 🟨,
  • 120+3', 4 - 4, Nakatani S. ,
  • 120+3', Jebali I. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, Usami T. (Pen),
  • 1, Takahashi J. (Pen),
  • 2, Welton (Pen),
  • 2, Sakamoto K. (Pen),
  • 3, Jebali I. (Pen),
  • 3, Yoshio Kaina (Pen),
  • 4, Kishimoto T. (Pen),
  • 4, Abe T. (Pen),
  • 5, Mitsuta M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
49.7%
Draw
26.6%
Montedio Yamagata
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 25% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 23.9% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gamba Osaka's form might have worsened.
  • Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montedio Yamagata's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gamba Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montedio Yamagata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gamba Osaka - Montedio Yamagata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.59)
    3.59
    (3.7)
    4
    (5.45)
    7.1%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Montedio Yamagata?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gamba Osaka will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gamba Osaka is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Montedio Yamagata has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Montedio Yamagata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Gamba Osaka is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 3.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    05.07.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka 0:1
    28.06.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka 3:1
    22.06.2025 Gamba Osaka - Tokyo 2:0
    18.06.2025 Gamba Osaka - Veertien Mie 2:1
    Latest results of Montedio Yamagata
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1MachidaBye
    2Kyoto SangyoMoriyama Samurai3 : 1
    3Vegalta SendaiBye
    4ToyamaJuntendo Univ.2 : 1
    5KyotoBye
    6Nara ClubNiigata University3 : 1
    7Yokohama FCBye
    8Grulla MoriokaNorth Asia University6 : 0
    9Kashima AntlersBye
    10KusatsuHosei1 : 0
    11V-Varen NagasakiBye
    12Omiya ArdijaTsukuba Univ.0 : 1
    13Avispa FukuokaBye
    14Okinawa SVVerspah Oita4 : 1
    15OkayamaBye
    16Belugarosso IwamiGiravanz Kitakyushu0 : 1
    17FC TokyoBye
    18KanazawaChukyo6 : 0
    19Hokkaido Consadole SapporoBye
    20Oita TrinitaLvnirosso2 : 0
    21Cerezo OsakaBye
    22WakayamaBasara Hyogo4 : 3
    23TokushimaBye
    24ByeRenofa Yamaguchi
    25Gamba OsakaBye
    26Veertien MieYamanashi Gakuin1 : 0
    27Montedio YamagataBye
    28ImabariKagoshima Utd0 : 2
    32ByeUrawa Reds
    33Kawasaki FrontaleBye
    34Fukushima UtdTokyo International University9 : 1
    35IwataBye
    36MitoSagamihara0 : 1
    37Yokohama F. MarinosBye
    38Reinmeer AomoriBTOP Hokkaido5 : 0
    39IwakiBye
    40ByeBlaublitz
    41Vissel KobeBye
    42KamatamareKochi United2 : 3
    43KofuBye
    44Fukui Utd.Honda FC1 : 0
    45Albirex NiigataBye
    46Fukuyama CityFC Tokushima2 : 1
    47Kashiwa ReysolBye
    48Sendai U.Toyo University2 : 4
    49VerdyBye
    50Tochigi SCOyama5 : 0
    51Sagan TosuBye
    52EhimeMitsubishi Nagasaki1 : 0
    53Nagoya GrampusBye
    54Veroskronos TsunoGainare Tottori2 : 1
    55ChibaBye
    56ByeKumamoto
    57Sanfrecce HiroshimaBye
    58Brew SagaHirondelle Kumamoto2 : 1
    59Fujieda MYFCBye
    60Baleine ShimonosekiInternational Pacific Univesity2 : 1
    61Shonan BellmareBye
    62GifuToyama Shinjo3 : 1
    63Shimizu S-PulseBye
    64YamagaOsaka2 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1MachidaKyoto Sangyo2 : 1
    2Vegalta SendaiToyama0 : 1
    3KyotoNara Club1 : 0
    4Yokohama FCGrulla Morioka2 : 1
    5Kashima AntlersKusatsu4 : 0
    6V-Varen NagasakiTsukuba Univ.2 : 1
    7Avispa FukuokaOkinawa SV2 : 0
    8OkayamaGiravanz Kitakyushu0 : 2
    9FC TokyoKanazawa3 : 1
    10Hokkaido Consadole SapporoOita Trinita2 : 3
    11Cerezo OsakaWakayama5 : 0
    12TokushimaRenofa Yamaguchi2 : 1
    13Gamba OsakaVeertien Mie2 : 1
    14Montedio YamagataKagoshima Utd2 : 1
    16ByeUrawa Reds
    17Kawasaki FrontaleFukushima Utd4 : 3
    18IwataSagamihara1 : 2
    19Yokohama F. MarinosReinmeer Aomori0 : 2
    20IwakiBlaublitz1 : 2
    21Vissel KobeKochi United4 : 1
    22KofuFukui Utd.2 : 1
    23Albirex NiigataFukuyama City1 : 0
    24Kashiwa ReysolToyo University0 : 2
    25VerdyTochigi SC3 : 1
    26Sagan TosuEhime1 : 0
    27Nagoya GrampusVeroskronos Tsuno3 : 0
    28ChibaKumamoto1 : 2
    29Sanfrecce HiroshimaBrew Saga3 : 1
    30Fujieda MYFCBaleine Shimonoseki2 : 0
    31Shonan BellmareGifu2 : 0
    32Shimizu S-PulseYamaga4 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1MachidaToyama2 : 1
    2KyotoYokohama FC4 : 3
    3Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki2 : 1
    4Avispa FukuokaGiravanz Kitakyushu1 : 0
    5FC TokyoOita Trinita2 : 0
    6Cerezo OsakaTokushima2 : 0
    7Gamba OsakaMontedio Yamagata4 : 5
    8ByeUrawa Reds
    9Kawasaki FrontaleSagamihara0 : 1
    10Reinmeer AomoriBlaublitz1 : 2
    11Vissel KobeKofu2 : 1
    12Albirex NiigataToyo University1 : 2
    13VerdySagan Tosu1 : 0
    14Nagoya GrampusKumamoto2 : 1
    15Sanfrecce HiroshimaFujieda MYFC5 : 2
    16Shonan BellmareShimizu S-Pulse0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1MachidaKyoto1 : 0
    2Kashima AntlersAvispa Fukuoka3 : 2
    3FC TokyoCerezo Osaka2 : 1
    4Montedio YamagataUrawa Reds1 : 2
    5SagamiharaBlaublitz2 : 1
    6Vissel KobeToyo University2 : 1
    7VerdyNagoya Grampus
    8Sanfrecce HiroshimaShimizu S-Pulse3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MachidaKashima Antlers
    2FC TokyoUrawa Reds
    3SagamiharaVissel Kobe
    4TBD #7Sanfrecce Hiroshima
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