Result
28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Aston Villa
40.9% | Draw
30.5% | Fulham
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aston Villa's form might have worsened.Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fulham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aston Villa - Fulham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.04) |
3.19 ↓
(3.4) |
3.37 ↓
(3.83) |
3.1%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Fulham?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Fulham will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 28.1% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Fulham (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 5.
- Aston Villa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fulham is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Fulham has had a series of home games.
- Aston Villa might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Fulham?
Aston Villa has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fulham won against Aston Villa?
Fulham has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Fulham were as follows:
03.05.2025
Aston Villa
-
Fulham
1:0
19.10.2024
Fulham
-
Aston Villa
1:3
17.02.2024
Fulham
-
Aston Villa
1:2
12.11.2023
Aston Villa
-
Fulham
3:1
26.07.2023
Fulham
-
Aston Villa
0:2
Latest results of Aston Villa
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liverpool | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:2 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
| 4 | Bournemouth | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Fulham | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Manchester City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Manchester Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | Brighton | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Burnley | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | Aston Villa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 | West Ham | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
| 20 | Wolves | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:12 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship
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