Aston Villa vs Fulham: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Aston Villa - Fulham
Result
3:1
28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 6
  • Referee: Madley A. (Eng)
Aston Villa - Fulham - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Aston Villa - Fulham live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.91
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
85% (338/397)87% (354/409)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.550.75
Total shots
911
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1929
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
85% (338/397)87% (354/409)
Long passes
51% (19/37)60% (27/45)
Passes in final third
67% (64/96)79% (89/113)
Crosses
9% (1/11)23% (7/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.66
Throw-ins
1018
Fouls
1013
Tackles
40% (4/10)44% (7/16)
Duels won
3742
Clearances
2623
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.751.55
Goals prevented
-0.25-1.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Jimenez R. , Lukic S. (A),
  • 11', Jimenez R. , Traore A. ,
  • 22', King J. 🟨,
  • 32', Mings T. , Torres P. ,
  • 34', Lukic S. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Watkins O. , Digne L. (A),
  • 45+1', Wilson H. 🟨,
  • 45+5', McGinn J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Elliott H. , Buendia E. ,
  • 49', 2 - 1, McGinn J. , Buendia E. (A),
  • 51', 3 - 1, Buendia E. , Watkins O. (A),
  • 55', Bassey C. 🟨,
  • 65', Iwobi A. , Kevin ,
  • 65', King J. , Smith Rowe E. ,
  • 72', McGinn J. , Kamara B. ,
  • 80', Wilson H. , Chukwueze S. ,
  • 80', Sessegnon R. , Robinson A. ,
  • 82', Bogarde L. , Lindelof V. ,
  • 83', Guessand E. , Malen D. ,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
38.8%
Draw
29.5%
Fulham
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 28.1% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 30.4% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aston Villa's form might have worsened.
  • Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fulham's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fulham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aston Villa - Fulham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.04)
    3.4
    (3.4)
    3.07
    (3.83)
    -0.4%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Fulham?
  • Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 27 - 40.9%). Fulham will win (votes: 17 - 25.8%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 29%52.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Fulham (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 5.
    • Recent performances by Aston Villa have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fulham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Fulham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Fulham has had a series of home games.
    • Aston Villa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Onana A. (Hamstring Injury) Tielemans Y. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Fulham: Kevin (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Fulham were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Aston Villa - Fulham 1:0
    19.10.2024 Fulham - Aston Villa 1:3
    17.02.2024 Fulham - Aston Villa 1:2
    12.11.2023 Aston Villa - Fulham 3:1
    26.07.2023 Fulham - Aston Villa 0:2
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    25.09.2025 Aston Villa - Bologna 1:0
    21.09.2025 Sunderland - Aston Villa 1:1
    16.09.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 2:1
    13.09.2025 Everton - Aston Villa 0:0
    Latest results of Fulham
    23.09.2025 Fulham - Cambridge United 1:0
    20.09.2025 Fulham - Brentford 3:1
    13.09.2025 Fulham - Leeds United 1:0
    30.08.2025 Chelsea - Fulham 2:0
    27.08.2025 Fulham - Bristol City 2:0
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal751114:31116
    2Liverpool750213:9415
    3Tottenham742113:5814
    4Bournemouth742111:8314
    5Manchester City741215:6913
    6Crystal Palace73319:5412
    7Chelsea732213:9411
    8Everton73229:7211
    9Sunderland73227:6111
    10Manchester Utd73139:11-210
    11Newcastle72326:519
    12Brighton723210:1009
    13Aston Villa72326:7-19
    14Fulham72238:11-38
    15Leeds72237:11-48
    16Brentford72149:12-37
    17Nottingham71245:12-75
    18Burnley71157:15-84
    19West Ham71156:16-104
    20Wolves70255:14-92

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Aston Villa - Fulham?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 1
    belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
    colombiaColombiaESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 7, CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
    europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
    finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
    franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
    hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 5, SÝN Sport 6, SÝN Sport
    indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    iranIranIRIB Varzesh
    irelandIrelandNOW
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
    japanJapanU-NEXT
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
    kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
    myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
    nepalNepalKantipur Max
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport Premier League
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
    portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
    romaniaRomaniaVoyo
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
    surinameSurinameSCCN
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
    ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
    uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamK+ Sport 1
    worldWorldSport 24 At Sea
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan