Frölunda vs Luleå: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Champions League Ice Hockey Frölunda - Luleå
Result
3:2 OT
03/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Sternat C. (Aut)
Frölunda - Luleå - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.972.24
Shots on Goal
3623
Shooting PCT
8.33% (3/36)8.7% (2/23)
Blocked shots
1711
Goalkeeper Saves
2133
Saves PCT
91.3% (21/23)91.67% (33/36)
Penalties
24
PIM
66
Power-play Goals
20
Shorthanded Goals
10
Power-play PCT
50% (2/4)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)50% (2/4)
Hits
106
Faceoffs Won
3426
Faceoffs %
56.6743.33
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 09:32, Innala J. (2 min),
  • 11:32, 1 - 0, Lasu N. (G),
  • 19:20, Nilsson T. (2 min),
  • 19:21, Hedqvist I. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 01:44, 1 - 1, Koivistoinen E. (G), Brome M. (A), Omark L. (A2)
  • 05:31, Laaksonen O. (2 min),
  • 07:24, 2 - 1, Peterson J. (G), Tommernes H. (A), Innala J. (A2)
  • 15:48, Folin Ch. (2 min),
  • 19:44, 2 - 2, Leskinen O. (G), Tardif B. (A), O'Neill B. (A2)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 04:21, Brome M. (2 min),
  • 04:57, 3 - 2, Innala J. (G), Tommernes H. (A), Ruotsalainen A. (A2)

Chances of winning


Frölunda
47.1%
Draw
23%
Luleå
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 20.7% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 24.8% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Frölunda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frölunda than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frölunda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luleå, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Frölunda - Luleå Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.79)
    4.06
    (4.47)
    3.16
    (3.38)
    6.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    What is the prediction for Frölunda - Luleå?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • O/U 5.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 8 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 9.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 8.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 8, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 7.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 9.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Frölunda will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 80.7%100%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Frölunda will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frölunda won 2.
    • Recent form of Frölunda has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Luleå's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Luleå has had a series of home games.
    • Frölunda could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Frölunda won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 56:51. (average 2.8:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Frölunda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 2.9:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Frölunda - Luleå were as follows:
    07.02.2026 Luleå - Frölunda 7:3
    08.01.2026 Frölunda - Luleå 1:2
    25.10.2025 Luleå - Frölunda 0:3
    20.09.2025 Frölunda - Luleå 4:1
    15.04.2025 Frölunda - Luleå 0:2
    Latest results of Frölunda
    28.02.2026 Brynäs - Frölunda 3:0
    26.02.2026 Frölunda - Skellefteå 0:2
    21.02.2026 HV71 - Frölunda 1:5
    19.02.2026 Örebro - Frölunda 5:4
    10.02.2026 Frölunda - Växjö Lakers 1:2
    Latest results of Luleå
    28.02.2026 Luleå - Skellefteå 0:1
    26.02.2026 Luleå - Timrå 7:3
    21.02.2026 Luleå - Brynäs 4:3
    19.02.2026 Växjö Lakers - Luleå 2:1
    07.02.2026 Luleå - Frölunda 7:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1ERC Ingolstadt (6)Salzburg (11)3 : 4, 6 : 2
    2Frolunda (3)Grenoble (14)1 : 2, 3 : 1
    3Bern (7)Brynas (10)3 : 5, 2 : 1
    4KalPa (2)Zurich (15)4 : 2, 4 : 4
    5Ilves (1)Bremerhaven (16)5 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Kometa Brno (8)Lulea (9)5 : 3, 1 : 6
    7Sparta Prague (4)Zug (13)3 : 2, 0 : 6
    8Lukko (5)Storhamar (12)5 : 2, 3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ERC Ingolstadt (6)Frolunda (3)2 : 2, 1 : 3
    2Brynas (10)KalPa (2)3 : 2, 5 : 1
    3Ilves (1)Lulea (9)0 : 3, 2 : 3
    4Zug (13)Lukko (5)3 : 0, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Frolunda (3)Brynas (10)2 : 2, 2 : 0
    2Lulea (9)Zug (13)3 : 2, 3 : 2

    Final
    1Frolunda (3)Lulea (9)3 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Frölunda - Luleå?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
    slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    usaUsaNHL Network
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