Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 33
- Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (381/467) | 76% (234/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (381/467) | 76% (234/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (59/97) | 70% (85/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 47 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Rosenboom L. ⚽, Machino S. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Manzambi J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Manzambi J. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 2, Holer L. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
- 61', Rosenboom L. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
- 67', Gigovic A. 🟨,
- 71', Tolkin J. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
- 76', Grifo V. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
- 76', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
- 78', Gigovic A. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
- 79', Johansson C. ↓, Pichler B. ↑,
- 90+6', Doan R. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
- 90+6', Adamu J. ↓, Sildillia K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Holstein Kiel
27.5% | Draw
25.2% | Freiburg
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Holstein Kiel - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.48 ↑
(3.26) |
3.81 ↑
(3.79) |
2.04 ↓
(2.13) |
4.1%
(4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Freiburg?
The most likely score is 1:1.
User prediction is Freiburg will win! (29 of 32 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Holstein Kiel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Freiburg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Freiburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P.
(Concussion)
Kelati A. Y.
(Thigh Injury)
Kleine-Bekel C.
(Knee Injury)
Komenda M.
(Thigh Injury)
Nekic I.
(Knee Injury)
Remberg N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D.
(Knee Injury)
Ogbus B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Machino S.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Freiburg?
Holstein Kiel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Holstein Kiel?
Freiburg has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Freiburg were as follows:
11.01.2025
Freiburg
-
Holstein Kiel
3:2
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
Latest results of Freiburg
German Bundesliga Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 95:32 | 63 | 79 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen ✔ | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 70:41 | 29 | 68 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 65:45 | 20 | 57 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 48:50 | -2 | 55 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 68:51 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Mainz | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 53:41 | 12 | 51 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:45 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 50:56 | -6 | 48 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 61:51 | 10 | 47 |
| 10 | B. Monchengladbach | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 55:56 | -1 | 45 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 34:49 | -15 | 43 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 55:54 | 1 | 40 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 37 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 28:39 | -11 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:64 | -18 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 29 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel ✔ | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 49:77 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | Bochum ✔ | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 31:67 | -36 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Holstein Kiel - Freiburg?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport App |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
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 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
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 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 2 |
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 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+ |
 Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5 |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
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 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
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 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
