Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund
Result
1:4
05/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 28
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.373.39
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
81% (373/463)81% (332/410)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.373.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.703.71
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
59
Shots inside the Box
1015
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
3636
Through passes
0% (0/4)100% (1/1)
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
68
Passes
81% (373/463)81% (332/410)
Long passes
49% (21/43)34% (23/67)
Passes in final third
75% (112/150)73% (86/118)
Crosses
32% (8/25)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.343.55
Fouls
86
Tackles
44% (8/18)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4447
Clearances Total
2133
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
3.710.70
Goals prevented
-0.29-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Adeyemi K. , Beier M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 51', 0 - 2, Chukwuemeka C. , Beier M. (A),
  • 61', Beier M. , Guirassy S. ,
  • 61', Bensebaini R. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 65', Ginter M. 🟨,
  • 68', 0 - 3, Guirassy S. , Brandt J. (A),
  • 69', Holer L. , Dinkci E. ,
  • 69', Lienhart P. , Rosenfelder M. ,
  • 70', Chukwuemeka C. , Nmecha F. ,
  • 70', Adeyemi K. , Gittens J. ,
  • 79', 0 - 4, Gittens J. , Ryerson J. (A),
  • 79', Adamu J. , Gregoritsch M. ,
  • 79', Grifo V. , Hofler N. ,
  • 79', Osterhage P. , Beste J. ,
  • 80', Svensson D. , Kabar A. ,
  • 88', 1 - 4, Eggestein M. , Doan R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Freiburg 28.8%Draw 26.6%Borussia Dortmund 44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Freiburg 31.6%Draw 26.5%Borussia Dortmund 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Freiburg 31.6%Draw 26.5%Borussia Dortmund 41.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (2.98)
    3.61
    (3.55)
    2.15
    (2.25)
    4.2%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 0.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Atubolu N. (Shoulder Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rohl M. (Heel Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Couto Y. (Yellow Cards) Mane F. (Muscle Injury) Sabitzer M. (Knee Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Sule N. (Knock)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 15:54 (average 0.8:2.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:22 (average 0.9:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg 4:0
    09.02.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg 3:0
    16.09.2023 Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund 2:4
    04.02.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg 5:1
    Latest results of Freiburg
    30.03.2025 Freiburg - Union Berlin 1:2
    15.03.2025 Mainz - Freiburg 2:2
    08.03.2025 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 0:0
    02.03.2025 Augsburg - Freiburg 0:0
    21.02.2025 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 5:0
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 32237293:326176
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 321911268:373168
    3Eintracht Frankfurt32168863:432056
    4Freiburg321571046:49-352
    5Dortmund321561164:491551
    6RB Leipzig321311851:45650
    7Mainz321391049:40948
    8Werder Bremen321381150:56-647
    9B. Monchengladbach321361355:54145
    10Stuttgart321281257:51644
    11Augsburg3211101134:45-1143
    12Wolfsburg321091353:52139
    13Union Berlin329101333:47-1437
    14St. Pauli32871726:37-1131
    15Hoffenheim327101544:62-1831
    16Heidenheim32752033:60-2726
    17Holstein Kiel32671948:75-2725
    18Bochum32572030:63-3322

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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