Result
0:2
15/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 28
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.25 | 0.49 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
27 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
84% (360/429) | 82% (302/370) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.25 | 0.49 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.55 | 0.95 |
Total shots |
---|
27 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
12 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
19 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
40 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
84% (360/429) | 82% (302/370) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (26/52) | 40% (19/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (145/189) | 70% (38/54) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (14/40) | 22% (2/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.14 | 0.22 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (12/12) | 63% (5/8) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 44 |
Clearances |
---|
10 | 45 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 9 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.95 | 2.55 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.05 | 2.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', Avila G. 🟨,
- 34', Coutinho 🟨,
- 40', Hugo Moura 🟥,
- 45+2', Britez E. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Rayan ⚽, Coutinho (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rodrigo ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
- 49', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
- 60', Lucero J. ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
- 61', Moreira N. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 61', Gomez C. A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 61', Coutinho ↓, David ↑,
- 70', Bareiro A. 🟨,
- 71', Avila G. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 72', Guzman Y. ↓, Moises ↑,
- 77', Lucas Piton ↓, Victor Luis ↑,
- 78', Deyverson 🟨,
- 79', Pochettino T. ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 82', 0 - 2, David ⚽,
- 88', Tche Tche ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
- 90+5', Robert Renan 🟨,
- 90+5', Bareiro A. 🟥,
- 90+6', Victor Luis 🟥,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza 40.7% | Draw 28.9% | Vasco da Gama 30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.34 ↑ (2.18) |
3.3 ↑ (3.24) |
3.15 ↓ (3.42) |
4.9% (6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Vasco will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vasco da Gama will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
- Fortaleza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vasco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Fortaleza might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruno Pacheco
(Thigh Injury)
Joao Ricardo
(Shoulder Injury)
Lucas Crispim
(Muscle Injury)
Lucca Prior
(Pelvis Injury)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
Pereira M.
(Yellow Cards)
Weverson
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Jair
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Allanzinho
(Inactive)
Benevenuto
(Hamstring Injury)
Tinga
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Cuesta C.
(Thigh Injury)
Thiago Mendes
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.8:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Vasco da Gama?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Fortaleza?
Vasco da Gama has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
17.05.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Fortaleza
3:0
09.11.2024
Fortaleza
-
Vasco da Gama
3:0
03.07.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Fortaleza
2:0
21.05.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Fortaleza
4:3
01.05.2024
Fortaleza
-
Vasco da Gama
0:0
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 61 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 53:13 | 40 | 58 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 41:21 | 20 | 53 |
4 | Mirassol | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 43 |
7 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 41 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
11 | Gremio | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 36 |
12 | Ceara | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
14 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 33 |
15 | Internacional | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 32 |
16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
17 | Vitoria | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 28 |
18 | Fortaleza | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 24 |
19 | Juventude | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 23 |
20 | Sport Recife | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz |
World | TV Globo Internacional |