Fortaleza vs Fluminense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Fortaleza - Fluminense
Result
2:0
29/03/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 1
  • Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
Fortaleza - Fluminense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.82
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
515
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
77% (217/282)91% (612/673)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.360.03
Total shots
515
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
29
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1017
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
516
Passes
77% (217/282)91% (612/673)
Long passes
30% (13/43)50% (19/38)
Passes in final third
58% (38/66)80% (140/174)
Crosses
22% (2/9)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.330.77
Fouls
165
Tackles
38% (10/26)73% (8/11)
Duels won
4343
Clearances Total
2421
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.031.36
Goals prevented
0.03-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Lucero J. , Marinho (A),
  • 15', Serna K. , Lima ,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Tinga , Fernandez P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Canobbio A. , Keno ,
  • 62', Tinga , David Luiz ,
  • 68', Mano Menezes 🟨,
  • 70', Hercules , Lezcano R. ,
  • 72', Emmanuel Martinez , Ze Welison ,
  • 72', Marinho , Moises ,
  • 83', Rene , Lavega J. ,
  • 83', Cano G. , Everaldo ,
  • 85', Lucas Sasha , Pochettino T. ,
  • 85', Lucero J. , Deyverson ,
  • 90+5', Moises 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
39.7%
Draw
30.9%
Fluminense
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 30.3% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 31.9% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Fortaleza - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.39)
    3.06
    (3.1)
    3.21
    (3.12)
    5.9%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Fluminense?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 2.
    • Fortaleza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Fluminense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fluminense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Fortaleza will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:16 (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Fluminense were as follows:
    22.11.2024 Fluminense - Fortaleza 2:2
    07.07.2024 Fortaleza - Fluminense 1:0
    03.09.2023 Fluminense - Fortaleza 1:0
    10.09.2022 Fluminense - Fortaleza 2:1
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    26.03.2025 Fortaleza - CRB Maceio 0:1
    22.03.2025 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:1
    19.03.2025 Sousa - Fortaleza 2:1
    15.03.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    Latest results of Fluminense
    12.03.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 1:2
    09.03.2025 Volta Redonda - Fluminense 0:0
    05.03.2025 Caxias - Fluminense 1:2
    02.03.2025 Fluminense - Volta Redonda 4:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1172217:8923
    3Bragantino1172214:8623
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Fluminense1162315:12320
    6Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    7Bahia1153311:11018
    8Mirassol1145217:12517
    9Atletico-MG1145211:10117
    10Ceara1143413:11215
    11Corinthians1143412:14-215
    12Gremio1143411:14-315
    13Sao Paulo112639:11-212
    14Internacional1125412:16-411
    15Vasco1131711:15-410
    16Vitoria1124510:14-410
    17Fortaleza1124510:15-510
    18Santos112278:12-48
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

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