Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 20
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Fluminense - Fortaleza live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.92 | 1.95 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
81% (319/393) | 86% (445/515) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.92 | 1.95 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.73 | 2.45 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
81% (319/393) | 86% (445/515) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (24/48) | 58% (34/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (55/83) | 73% (102/140) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (2/9) | 26% (6/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.77 | 1.41 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
85% (11/13) | 67% (6/9) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 12 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.45 | 1.73 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.45 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Cano G. ⚽, Serna K. (A),
- 24', Keno ↓, Canobbio A. ↑,
- 43', Andrade K. 🟨,
- 45+2', Britez E. 🟨,
- 45+4', Breno Lopes 🟨,
- 45+5', Martinelli 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Andrade K. ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
- 55', Bernal F. 🟨,
- 57', Lucero J. 🟨,
- 63', Herrera J. ↓, Breno Lopes ↑,
- 63', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Canobbio A. ⚽, Serna K. (A),
- 67', Martinelli ↓, Hercules ↑,
- 73', Yago Pikachu ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Breno Lopes ⚽, Allanzinho (A),
- 80', PH Ganso ↓, Lima ↑,
- 80', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 86', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fluminense 54.5% | Draw 26.8% | Fortaleza 18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Fluminense - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↓ (1.83) |
3.54 ↑ (3.3) |
5.02 ↑ (4.62) |
5.3% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fluminense will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1.
- Fluminense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fortaleza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Freytes J.
(Red Card)
Fuentes G.
(Knee Injury)
Ignacio
(Knee Injury)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Thiago Silva
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno
(Finger Injury)
Gustavo Mancha
(Red Card)
Joao Ricardo
(Finger Injury)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
Pochettino T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Soteldo Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Pereira M.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Fluminense will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Fortaleza?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Fluminense?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Fortaleza were as follows:
29.03.2025
Fortaleza
-
Fluminense
2:0
22.11.2024
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
2:2
07.07.2024
Fortaleza
-
Fluminense
1:0
03.09.2023
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
1:0
10.09.2022
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
2:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 44:9 | 35 | 46 |
2 | Palmeiras | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 27:15 | 12 | 42 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:15 | 19 | 41 |
4 | Bahia | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27:17 | 10 | 36 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:12 | 14 | 32 |
6 | Mirassol | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 32 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 26:22 | 4 | 32 |
8 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Fluminense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Ceara | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
11 | Corinthians | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Atletico-MG | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 24 |
13 | Internacional | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
14 | Gremio | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 24 |
15 | Santos | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 21 |
16 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27:29 | -2 | 19 |
17 | Vitoria | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 18:32 | -14 | 19 |
18 | Juventude | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
19 | Fortaleza | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Fluminense - Fortaleza?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Usa | Fanatiz |