Result
1:2
23/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 16
Advertisement
Watch and bet Fluminense - Palmeiras live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (372/450) | 86% (336/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (372/450) | 86% (336/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 46% (27/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (79/114) | 62% (46/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 36', 1 - 0, Cano G. (Pen),
- 36', Felipe Anderson ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Mauricio ⚽, Sosa R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Fuentes G. 🟨,
- 61', Ignacio ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 61', Serna K. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 62', 1 - 2, Vitor Roque ⚽,
- 66', Nonato ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 72', Lucas Evangelista 🟨,
- 73', Torres F. 🟨,
- 74', Torres F. ↓, Allan ↑,
- 74', Vitor Roque ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
- 74', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 75', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 75', Soteldo Y. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 80', Mauricio ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 90+8', Allan 🟥,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
33.1% | Draw
32.3% | Palmeiras
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fluminense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Fluminense - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.6) |
2.96 ↓
(3.14) |
2.73 ↓
(2.8) |
5.3%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 18.5% – 61.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
PH Ganso
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Fuchs
(Yellow Cards)
Murilo
(Thigh Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Figueiredo
(Inactive)
Rios R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Palmeiras?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Fluminense?
Palmeiras has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Palmeiras were as follows:
08.12.2024
Palmeiras
-
Fluminense
0:1
24.07.2024
Fluminense
-
Palmeiras
1:0
03.12.2023
Palmeiras
-
Fluminense
1:0
05.08.2023
Fluminense
-
Palmeiras
2:1
27.08.2022
Fluminense
-
Palmeiras
1:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 33:8 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:13 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:10 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 14 | Santos | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
| 15 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 17 | Vasco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
| 18 | Juventude | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:38 | -23 | 15 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Fluminense - Palmeiras?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
