Peñarol de Montevideo vs Flamengo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores Peñarol de Montevideo - Flamengo
Result
0:0
26/09/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Flamengo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
27%73%
Goal Attempts
514
Shots on Goal
12
Shots off Goal
412
Free Kicks
1910
Corner Kicks
35
Offsides
02
Throw-ins
2026
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Fouls
1220
Yellow Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Plata G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Plata G. , Gabriel Barbosa ,
  • 59', Varela G. , Wesley ,
  • 63', Leo Ortiz 🟨,
  • 67', Baez J. , Sequeira L. ,
  • 67', Cabrera J. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 74', Alex Sandro , Ayrton Lucas ,
  • 77', Silvera M. , Batista F. ,
  • 83', Leo Ortiz , Matheus Goncalves ,
  • 83', Fabricio Bruno , David Luiz ,
  • 90', Darias E. , Ramirez G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
25.2%
Draw
29.9%
Flamengo
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 29.6% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 30.2% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peñarol de Montevideo's form might have worsened.
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (2.57)
    3.15
    (3.22)
    2.1
    (2.86)
    6%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Flamengo?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is Flamengo will win! (58 of 64 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
    • Peñarol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Flamengo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Flamengo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Peñarol have a series of guest games.
    • Flamengo will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Flamengo were as follows:
    19.09.2024 Flamengo - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:1
    Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
    Latest results of Flamengo
    22.09.2024 Grêmio - Flamengo 3:2
    15.09.2024 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    12.09.2024 Flamengo - Bahia 1:0
    01.09.2024 Corinthians - Flamengo 2:1
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. De Chile53118:5310
    2Estudiantes L.P53029:549
    3Botafogo RJ53027:529
    4Carabobo50142:11-91


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate ✔ 532012:6611
    2U. de Deportes52123:307
    3Ind. del Valle51226:10-45
    4Barcelona SC51133:5-24


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba53207:4311
    2Flamengo RJ52215:328
    3LDU Quito52215:418
    4Dep. Tachira50054:10-60


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo ✔ 53208:3511
    2Libertad Asuncion ✔ 52214:318
    3Talleres Cordoba51134:6-24
    4Alianza Lima51135:9-44


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club ✔ 531113:31010
    2Fortaleza ✔ 52218:448
    3Bucaramanga ✔ 51316:9-36
    4Colo Colo50234:15-112


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 53027:529
    2Internacional522110:738
    3Bahia52124:5-17
    4Nacional51136:10-44


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras ✔ 550011:4715
    2Cerro Porteno52127:707
    3Sporting Cristal51136:10-44
    4Bolivar51048:11-33


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield ✔ 531111:4710
    2Penarol ✔ 53119:4510
    3SA Bulo Bulo ✔ 52035:11-66
    4Olimpia Asuncion50235:11-62

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    River Plate is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Libertad Asuncion is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Racing Club is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Fortaleza is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bucaramanga is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Penarol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    SA Bulo Bulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
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