Flamengo vs Chelsea: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer FIFA Club World Cup
Soccer FIFA Club World Cup Flamengo - Chelsea
Result
3:1
20/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FIFA Club World Cup - Round 2
  • Referee: Barton I. (Sal)
Flamengo - Chelsea - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.001.06
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
88% (384/438)88% (360/409)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.001.06
xG on target (xGOT)
3.640.33
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
88% (384/438)88% (360/409)
Long passes
52% (17/33)43% (12/28)
Passes in final third
72% (74/103)80% (64/80)
Crosses
29% (4/14)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.53
Throw-ins
915
Fouls
1514
Tackles
63% (12/19)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4442
Clearances
1210
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.333.64
Goals prevented
-0.480.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Caicedo M. 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Neto P. ⚽,
  • 23', Neto P. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Delap L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 56', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Bruno Henrique ⚽, Plata G. (A),
  • 64', Delap L. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
  • 64', James R. ↓, Lavia R. ↑,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Danilo ⚽, Bruno Henrique (A),
  • 68', Jackson N. 🟥,
  • 74', Gerson 🟨,
  • 82', Gerson ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
  • 82', Wesley Franca ↓, Varela G. ↑,
  • 82', Palmer C. ↓, Guiu M. ↑,
  • 82', Fernandez E. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Wallace Yan ⚽, Plata G. (A),
  • 85', Pulgar E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Plata G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Luiz Araujo ↓, Pedro ↑,
  • 90+2', Plata G. ↓, Michael ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Flamengo
23.7%		Draw
28.5%		Chelsea
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.1% 22.4% 60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3% 18.9% 51%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.
  • Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelsea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
    •

    Flamengo - Chelsea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.21 ↓
    (5.5)    		 3.47 ↓
    (4.2)    		 2.02 ↑
    (1.55)    		 2.1%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Flamengo - Chelsea?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 21 - 33.9%). Chelsea will win (votes: 27 - 43.5%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 22.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 31.2% – 55.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Chelsea (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%).
    • O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Flamengo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Chelsea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Flamengo has had a series of home games.
    • Chelsea is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Castledine L. (Back Injury) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Flamengo
    16.06.2025 Flamengo - Espérance ST 2:0 ✺
    01.06.2025 Flamengo - Fortaleza 5:0 ✺
    28.05.2025 Flamengo - Deportivo Táchira 1:0
    25.05.2025 Palmeiras - Flamengo 0:2 ✺
    21.05.2025 Flamengo - Botafogo PB 4:2
    Latest results of Chelsea
    16.06.2025 Chelsea - Los Angeles 2:0 ✺
    28.05.2025 Betis - Chelsea 1:4 ✺
    25.05.2025 Nottingham Forest - Chelsea 0:1 ✺
    16.05.2025 Chelsea - Manchester United 1:0 ✺
    11.05.2025 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)
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